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Old 09-23-2006, 09:19 PM
blogguy blogguy is offline
MW Writer, S.H. Austin
 
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Default Notes on 1H Iowa State/Texas

It's 96 degrees and very humid. Stacey-Dales Schuman was glistening before kickoff. Chance for a Iowa State wear down in the 2H because they're a northern team. It's MUCH hotter today than during Ohio State/Texas 2 weeks ago.

Iowa State has had trouble stopping the run in the first half. Hard to see how they get better at it as they tire in the second half.

An Iowa State lineman leg-whipped a UT defender...possibly knocking that senior out for the year with a knee injury. UT will be thinking about that during halftime.

Iowa State also had a late hit on UT's quarterback on the final scoring drive. This could mean Texas doesn't call off the dogs if they extend the lead to a comfortable range.

Iowa State is already passing every play, and will continue to pass every play from behind.

This makes Under plays dangerous...even though it was a high scoring 30-17 first half. How you feel about the team side depends on how you feel about garbage time in blowouts.

First number I saw was 10.5 and 26.5. Basically, if Texas scores 17 in the second half...it's a split or sweep. Now...if Iowa State scores 9...then an 0-2 is possible at those numbers. 19 is the true safe number for Texas.

Given emotions and heat effects....that seems possible. For me, lean on Texas and Over combo. Can't do more than a lean because of garbage possibilities...and chance UT sits on a lead and runs clock if it gets much worse.

Any thoughts?
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Old 09-23-2006, 09:26 PM
robin robin is offline
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Default Notes on 1H Iowa State/Texas

...and chance UT sits on a lead and runs clock if it gets much worse.


mack is famous for that

id take the 10
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Old 09-23-2006, 09:34 PM
blogguy blogguy is offline
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Default Notes on 1H Iowa State/Texas

Just to clarify...Mack is famous for running up the score and not calling off the dogs until the lead is at least 35 points. Texas was 8-2 ATS as double digit favorites last year because he doesn't sit on leads until the margin is high.

He believes that final scores affect the polls...and he's on record as saying he has to keep scoring in these kinds of games. With a 16 point lead...there's still some distance between the line and when he calls off the dogs.

Typical thresholds in the past have been 50 points on the board, and/or a lead of 35 points or so. Half just kicked off...so we'll see what happens.
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Old 09-23-2006, 09:37 PM
blogguy blogguy is offline
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Default Notes on 1H Iowa State/Texas

Thunderstorm is about to hit the stadium in about 20 minutes...lol

Might be one of those where they stop the game for awhile. A lot of red and yellow on the radar.

Texas is in hurry up mode before the storm hits...lol. Well, they've been playing hurry up offense all game. But...clouds looming off in the Northern skies.
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Old 09-23-2006, 09:39 PM
robin robin is offline
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Default Notes on 1H Iowa State/Texas

just to clarify no hes not....look at ut second half bets under all of mack browns tenure and i would venture a guess hes way under 50 percent

they were 8-2 as dd favs last year b/c they were usually up 35-7 at half
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Old 09-23-2006, 11:09 PM
blogguy blogguy is offline
MW Writer, S.H. Austin
 
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Default Notes on 1H Iowa State/Texas

Sorry...you saw the thunderstorm come through Austin...had to maintain radio silence...lol

Robin, please stay out of my threads. I'm tired of having to correct your constant errors. It's ridiculous that I've got to do that within a thread I started.

DO YOU EVER BOTHER TO LOOK ANYTHING UP?

Try it once...you'll learn something, and you'll stop posting 15 errors a week.

Texas was 6-3 ATS last year in the nine games they covered or pushed as double digit favorites. They also won a second half 35-0 in a game they didn't cover.

The winners:
Texas 21, Louisiana Lafayette 0
Texas 27, Missouri 7
Texas 21, Oklahoma 6
Texas 21, Texas Tech 7
Texas 35, Balyor 0
Texas 28, Colorado 0

Texas covered the FULL GAME spreads in just the second halves against Missouri, Oklahoma, Baylor, and Colorado...even though they led those games at the half 24-13, 24-6, 27-0, and 42-3.

The single most defining characteristic about Mack Brown coached teams is that they run up the score when they can. They don't call off the dogs until they break 50 or have a 35-point lead. And, even then...they still run a normal rush offense that's trying to score.

This is IMPOSSIBLE TO MISS if you follow college football, or follow the Texas Longhorns. You're trying to correct stathead who lives in Austin, Texas about the stat characterics of the Longhorns.

ABOUT SOMETHING THAT'S IMPOSSIBLE TO MISS!

What next...gravity doesn't exist? The sun doesn't come up in the morning? Keep 'em coming...

Well, no don't. I'm done being your fact checker. But, if I start a thread I'll correct anything in the thread.

Gentle readers...please put all comments you read in the proper perspective based on what you know about the research efforts of the people making any claims. That goes for me, and anyone else. If you think I'm wrong...look up some stuff and make your case.
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Old 09-24-2006, 05:34 AM
robin robin is offline
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Default Notes on 1H Iowa State/Texas

***** off asshole

my best reply to you sir
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Old 09-24-2006, 05:39 AM
robin robin is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2001
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Default Notes on 1H Iowa State/Texas

anytime you would care to go head to head to test real knowledge id love to you pathetic pos.
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