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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 12-24-2005, 07:25 PM
Sikamikanico Sikamikanico is offline
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Default Betting Moneylines - underdogs



Hello MW


Do you like to bet money line on "home underdog"??? could you explain me whats the best way to bet moneylines?


this is my 1st post thank you guys
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Old 12-24-2005, 11:29 PM
SwampHog SwampHog is offline
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Default RE: Betting Moneylines - underdogs

I generally take the points, with one caveat, if its a long time rivalry (e.g. Packers/Bears tomorrow nite) where I like the underdog, I'm more inclined to go moneyline. I haven't researched whether intra-divisional dogs are more or less likely to win outright when they're, say, 7 pt dogs than your typical non-rivalry 7 pt underdog, so take it for what its worth, which ain't much.

Actually, anyone got any stats on winning percentage of home teams before/after inception of instant replay? Seems like instant replay would cut into home field advantage as it keeps the refs from getting caught up in/bowing to crowd pressure.
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Old 12-24-2005, 11:35 PM
Tildy Tildy is offline
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Default RE:Betting Moneylines - underdogs

You have to be one patient and detached mofo to live through the "bad beats" that a moneyline player eats on a monthly basis.
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Old 12-24-2005, 11:40 PM
Sikamikanico Sikamikanico is offline
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Default RE:Betting Moneylines - underdogs

for example todays Redskins , they were +1 and moneyline EVEN, they turned out winning, once i heard that someone could bet even with their eyes blindfolded on this kind of situations. how true is that statement?
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Old 12-25-2005, 01:16 AM
SwampHog SwampHog is offline
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Default RE: Betting Moneylines - underdogs

Its not true at all. And I don't recommend a blindfold during any phase of handicapping.

As between betting the skins at even money or +1 -110, the smarter bet is to take them to win outright at even money. Almost no games end in ties and the push you'll save when they lose by 1 will happen nowhere near often enough to justify paying the extra 10 cents for. I'm not going to take the time to do the research and math, but +1 at -102, then maybe I'd consider the insurance.

But if the Redskins only have a 49.8% chance of winning the game, then neither is a good bet. Nor would their opponent be a good bet at -110, the bookies will simply have handicapped this game correctly. Move on to the next offering.
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Old 12-25-2005, 02:18 PM
Sikamikanico Sikamikanico is offline
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Default RE:Betting Moneylines - underdogs

Thanks man d(-.-)b
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