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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 12-12-2016, 07:49 PM
analyzer analyzer is offline
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Default 2016 13th Annual Major Wager Bowl Contest - Color Spreadsheet

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

Please Sticky Near The Top Thank You.

Past Winners:

2015
Material Florida 22
Lets Rodeo 21
Novi Law 21

2014
Buck$wope 20
Bobber Down 18
Analyzer 18

2013
Simpleton 22.5
Material Florida 22
Kubo 54 16.5

2012
ZZ Top 22.5
The Money Line 20
Spraguer 19

2011
ZZ Top 24
Mr. Neg 23.5
Buck$wope 22

2010
SBR 21.5
AJax 21.5
Buck$wope 21

2009
Sempre Fi 26
DrunkenGoon 23
BBQ/Capt 22

2008
Pancho Sanza 25
Mr. Neg 24.5
Robin/stevo 23.5

2007
Angel 23
Iowa Child 22
Robin/stevo 21.5

2006
Team MW 21
SBR 20.5
Buzz Rav 20

2005
Nine.com 23
Buck$wope 22
Fezzik 21

2004
Buck$wope 23
Bowlmeone 23
NeilM 20
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"If life throws you curve balls, sit on it, and put it in the 2nd deck"..... yeah, well, that's nice, but I could never hit a damn curve ball.

Last edited by stevo : 12-17-2016 at 11:54 AM.
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Old 12-17-2016, 04:24 PM
analyzer analyzer is offline
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Going to be gone for the rest of the afternoon, and most of the evening. I'll update when I get back.
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Old 12-19-2016, 11:25 PM
DrunkenGoon DrunkenGoon is offline
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First good news for me today, I didn't have a play so I couldn't lose :)
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Old 12-22-2016, 09:38 PM
Buck Swope Buck Swope is offline
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$
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Last edited by Buck Swope : 12-22-2016 at 09:38 PM. Reason: I am a dumbass
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Old 12-26-2016, 11:25 AM
analyzer analyzer is offline
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I don't have one of those fancy phones most of you carry (yes, I still have a flip phone). How well does the color spreadsheet show on the newer phones?
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"If life throws you curve balls, sit on it, and put it in the 2nd deck"..... yeah, well, that's nice, but I could never hit a damn curve ball.
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Old 12-26-2016, 11:27 AM
Caitlyn Cwissy Caitlyn Cwissy is offline
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Shows perfect on eye phone, just smaller. I think pushes should be black. Clearest distinction from graded and pendings.
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Old 12-31-2016, 11:56 AM
Buck Swope Buck Swope is offline
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5 of the top 6 have UWash for 2*'s or better today

If you are trying to backdoor then Rooollllllllllll Tide
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Old 12-31-2016, 12:25 PM
analyzer analyzer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Buck Swope View Post
5 of the top 6 have UWash for 2*'s or better today

If you are trying to backdoor then Rooollllllllllll Tide
Well lets see:

Colorado lost 38-8.
Wash St lost outright to a shorthanded Gophers 17-12.
Utah failed to cover vs Indiana 26-24
Stanford failed to cover 25-23

By my count that makes the pac 12 oh for the bowl season to date.

I see alot of USC sprinkled in their too.
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Old 12-31-2016, 12:48 PM
analyzer analyzer is offline
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As of this morning, ZZ top could still take 2nd with 16 points.

He would need all 3 of his 3 stars

LSU
Kentucky (need a 2nd half rally as I type this)
Auburn

Plus:
Penn St
Bama
Wisconsin (several players have w. Mich, and no one has the badgers).

That would get him 3rd, (sprag 1st, cwissy 2nd)

And then either Clemson or Florida would push him past the cat into 2nd.
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Old 12-31-2016, 12:58 PM
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Lets Rodeo cannot quite get there. He would actually finish better if Wmich loses, as it is a 1 pt play for him. But 4th place is the best I can see.
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Old 01-01-2017, 11:02 AM
bbqguy bbqguy is offline
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Hey Anal, great job with the spreadsheet again this year. the chart on the bottom with scenarios is above and beyond great!
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Old 01-01-2017, 12:24 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bbqguy View Post
Hey Anal, great job with the spreadsheet again this year. the chart on the bottom with scenarios is above and beyond great!
Thank you very much. I appreciate that. This year wasn't too bad, with 16 scenarios, but when I have to punch out 64, it takes a lot of work.

I just hope it's accurate. I try hard to ensure that it is. Some folks make hedge decisions off that chart, so I hate to be wrong. The tiebreakers are tricky, and if there's a mistake, that's often where it is. There's one scenario with 3 players tying with 18, and another where 3 tie with 16. It gets a little tight. Bobber dwn has a huge advantage in the tie-breaker department, with 4/5 3stars in the clubhouse. The Cat, and Backdoor, can also get to 4/5.

I find it interesting that we will at minimum 2 players that went 0-5 in their 3 stars, and you may join them before we are thru. If we had 32 players, by coinflip avg, ONE should finish 0-5 in 3 stars. As we only have 18, and theoretically many of the contestants are at least a little better than avg, potentially having 3 in that category is a couple standard deviations out. As is someone potentially WINNING the contest with 16 points. Wow. I never thought I would see the day.
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Old 01-01-2017, 12:33 PM
clevfan clevfan is offline
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Analyzer, thank you so much for doing all this work, same to DrunkenGoon for organizing it this year.
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Old 01-01-2017, 06:42 PM
Hartley Hartley is offline
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If I'm correct, Iowa, Wisconsin, Penn St, OU then we actually win this with 16 points in a tiebreaker? Wow.
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Old 01-01-2017, 11:43 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hartley View Post
If I'm correct, Iowa, Wisconsin, Penn St, OU then we actually win this with 16 points in a tiebreaker? Wow.
No, you would take 2nd. If you go to the spreadsheet, and look down the page, you will find the scenarios. You would finish 2nd, in a 4 way tie with 16 points. Bobber down is 4/5 in 3 star games, you and buck are 3 of 5.
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Old 12-07-2017, 05:15 PM
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bump.

top 3 finished with 16 each last year. Incredible that 16 was enough to win.
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Old 12-08-2017, 04:01 AM
ChuckyTheGoat ChuckyTheGoat is offline
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Top went B2B. Very impressive.
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