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  #20 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2011, 06:04 PM
analyzer analyzer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by harvin View Post
Pretty much what I summed in the few words of "all the bad bettors like the Gophers"
you are absolutely correct Harvin.
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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 01-29-2011, 06:52 PM
harvin harvin is offline
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whats the kstate/kansas winner anal?!
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  #22 (permalink)  
Old 02-02-2011, 12:55 PM
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Well, I got the number I was looking for, Indiana getting 3 points. With one problem. Indiana is without 3 of their top 4 scorers (watford, Jones, and creek...perhaps Stevo or Clev can give us an injury update). I believe Indiana's top scorer, Christian Watford, broke his hand in the Mich State game, and won't be playing. Indiana beat Illinois at home, and looked very good against Mich state, and I was all prepared to fade the gophers in this one, but without Watford... I don't know. Hulls looked unstoppable the other day, but he's going to need some help somewhere.

On Saturday, Purdue set the recipe to beat this short-bench-version of the gophers on the road... double team Hoffarber. Minnesota, without their top 2 point guards, has chosen to stick Blake Hoffarber in that role, and purdue dbl'ed him into turnovers, and far less production from 3 pt land. Minnesota never threatened in the 2nd half of that one.

With so many good scorers on the bench in this one, and the gophers continuing to suit just 8 guys, U139 starts to sound like the best play. Gun to my head, if those 3 guys truly aren't playing for Indiana, I might have to take minny and lay the 3. It's really hard to do though. Indiana was flying around the court in that mich st game, and I was thinking they'd beat minny. But without watford I can't ride the hoosiers. I guess I'll just wait for feedback from Stevo.
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Old 02-02-2011, 06:59 PM
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Didnt see this Analyzer.

24-10 Indiana with 7 min left in half. Minny just looks out of sorts.

Hope you got the info you needed.
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Old 02-02-2011, 07:10 PM
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I had to go to a training session, which just left me with the U139. They didn't have team totals posted or I would've played Minny under their team total for sure. It was probably around 71. Gophers look terrible. There should be plenty of fade opportunities the next couple weeks.
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Old 02-02-2011, 07:18 PM
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33-21 Indiana.

Wish Indiana hadnt of got that last 3. Total could of been 51 pts FH
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  #26 (permalink)  
Old 02-02-2011, 07:32 PM
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The under definitely is still in jeopardy. Indiana has played plenty of games with 90-100 point second halves, but I don't think today is one of those. I'm real tempted to play minny U38 2nd half.
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Old 02-02-2011, 08:33 PM
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Missed the 3 for O.T.

Got your under
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  #28 (permalink)  
Old 02-07-2011, 12:46 AM
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In case you're not paying attention, the Gophers have NOT covered in their last 3 games now. I expect more of the same until Al Nolen comes back. They had 19 turnovers Sunday against Ohio State. Their big boys looked pathetic, and coughed it up 12 times in the paint.

Illinois is in the barn, and as cwissy says, I'd take Illinois damn near any number. Gophers are likely to be small favorites I would think. Take the points.

@Iowa, and @Penn state, gophers may be favored in both of those, and I expect them to lose.

Mich state at home 4 games from now, might be the gophers next win.

I'm heading to Missouri for work, and not sure how often I can check in, but until Nolen comes back, I'd continue to ride this gravy train.
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  #29 (permalink)  
Old 02-10-2011, 11:04 AM
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If things weren't already heading the wrong direction for the gophers, Blake Hoffarber is now nursing a sore knee he hurt in the 2nd half of the Ohio st game. The added emphasis on Hoffarber appears to be taking it's toll.

Illini fans would tell you they can't win a tight game, and struggle on the road. But the gophers have lost 3 consecutive ATS and straight up, and I don't see this one being any different.

Illini +2

Gophers are like 52-4 when they score 70 points during the Tubby era, their TT is 68 1/2. So if you're betting the illini, you may as well pair it with this:

Gopher TT U68 1/2.
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Last edited by analyzer : 02-10-2011 at 11:09 AM.
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  #30 (permalink)  
Old 02-21-2011, 02:25 PM
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Gophers are now 1-5 ATS during this 6 game fade run without Al Nolen. He's not suppose to be back until the big 10 tourney, in the mean time, the gopher offense, AND defense continues to struggle. Nolen might have been the best defensive player in the league guarding the other team's best perimeter player, and was averaging 4 steals a game. Then when you take away what he brings to the offense, distributing the ball, and the gophers have lost 8-10 points a game there as well.

With Hoffarber having to switch from shooting guard to point guard, it's up the gophers turnovers, and diminished his ability to shoot 3's. The big men up front continue to be plagued with turnovers, and just about everyone not named Hoffarber is struggling at the free throw line.

Gophers have no true point guard. Can't shoot 3's outside of Blake, and shoot in the low to mid 60's from the candy stripe. What is there to like about these guys? I suppose they're tall, and can board a bit. Minny has holes everywhere and a short bench to boot. This continues to be a strong fade. The losses are mounting, and it's not a fluke.

The gophers may very well lose 3 of the next 4. They should be hungry tomorrow vs Michigan State, but I'm hungry for my wife, it doesn't mean I get to eat.

MSU wants this one badly too. Both teams are playing for their tournament lives, I'm just not sure minny has what it takes without Nolen. I look for Minny to be very small favorites tomorrow, and I'll take the points. Mich St should win the game.
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  #31 (permalink)  
Old 02-23-2011, 12:52 PM
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1-6 ATS in their last 7 now. The fade continues.....
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  #32 (permalink)  
Old 02-27-2011, 02:17 AM
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The beatings will continue until morale improves...

or until Nolen comes back.

With this loss to Michigan, who was a 5 1/2 point dog btw, the gophers are now 1-7 against the spread and counting. Again, this is no fluke.

Next loss for the gophers at Northwestern Wednesday. I look for NW to be 3 or 4 point favorites. I'd lay the points.
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  #33 (permalink)  
Old 03-02-2011, 02:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by analyzer View Post
Next loss for the gophers at Northwestern Wednesday. I look for NW to be 3 or 4 point favorites. I'd lay the points.
Well, as expected, NW is a 3 1/2 point favorite. I'll stay true to my prediction and lay the points. This thread has turned out to be fairly prophetic with the goofies dropping 7 of their last 8 ATS and straight up. Unfortunately for those playing the fade, NW sucks. Leaving us with a dilemma. Do we continue to fade, or sit one out?

As was discussed earlier, under Tubby's tenure, the gophers are something like 54-4 when they score at least 70 points... funny, during this little abysmal slide, they've been scoring about 62 per game:

02/26/11 MICH L 63-70
02/22/11 MCHST L 48-53
02/17/11 @PENST L 63-66
02/13/11 @IOWA W 62-45
02/10/11 ILL L 62-71
02/06/11 OHIOS L 69-82
02/02/11 @IND L 57-60
01/29/11 @PURD L 61-73

I'd like to tell you to play the gopher TT U66 with confidence, but NW gives up 66 like the buick open. And they let Minny score 81 even without Nolen last time. Minny is a cunthair or two better than NW, I'm just not sure they care. With Minnesota dropping to 6-10 in the conference, I doubt they can make the tournament without winning the big ten tourny. Perhaps they're thinking they could win this one, and vs PSU, get to 8-10, and then go 3-1 in the tournament to salvage a .500 record in the big 10, so temper your bet in this one I guess.
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  #34 (permalink)  
Old 03-02-2011, 11:20 PM
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NW 68-57. Gophers now 1-8 in their last 9 ATS, and they did stay U66. More of the same I'm afraid against PSU.

Sunday will be hoffarber's last game at home, so the gophers might put up a big effort. I would think Vegas will want the action on Minny, so they can have the lions. Minny will probably be small single digit favorites. Somewhere around 4. I guess I'd have to take the points. Especially with Penn state smelling an NCAA birth. Other than it being the last game for seniors at home, the gophers will have nothing to play for in that one. Gophers have only one shot at an NCAA birth, and that's to win the big 10 tournament. They have no shot if Nolen doesn't return, but could do some damage if he does.

Look for the Gophers TT on Sunday to be in the mid to high 60's, and play the under. And take PSU and the points. The fade continues....
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  #35 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2011, 12:17 PM
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Quote:
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NW 68-57. Gophers now 1-8 in their last 9 ATS, and they did stay U66. More of the same I'm afraid against PSU.

Sunday will be hoffarber's last game at home, so the gophers might put up a big effort. I would think Vegas will want the action on Minny, so they can have the lions. Minny will probably be small single digit favorites. Somewhere around 4. I guess I'd have to take the points. Especially with Penn state smelling an NCAA birth. Other than it being the last game for seniors at home, the gophers will have nothing to play for in that one. Gophers have only one shot at an NCAA birth, and that's to win the big 10 tournament. They have no shot if Nolen doesn't return, but could do some damage if he does.

Look for the Gophers TT on Sunday to be in the mid to high 60's, and play the under. And take PSU and the points. The fade continues....
Well, as expected the line is 5, and 66 TT on the gophers. I'll continue this wonderful fade. And it's not just the side that's been 1-8, but the gophers have only topped their TT once in those 9 games as well, scoring 63 or less all but once. So in effect, a person taking advantage, could easily have gone 16-2.

I'm hoping Al Nolen comes back for the big 10 tourny and we can get some juicy numbers going the other direction. You slide hoffarber back to the shooting guard position, and bring in the best defensive perimeter player in the league to play point guard and distribute, and these guys are 10 points better on both sides of the ball. Instead of losing to the Mich's and NW's 70-63, they're winning 73-60.

For now.... Nolen's not there. Neither are the 3's, and the FT's. Minny led NW by 10 with 13 minutes left, and melted down. I expect about the same here. You might consider a 1h play on the gophers, and a game play on PSU. Penn St at 8-9, really needs this win to make the Dance. The gophers only hope lies in winning the big 10 tourny. This game is essentially meaningless for the maroon and gold, other than senior day. But then, yesterday was meaningless for Iowa, and they beat Purdue, who was playing for a share of the big ten title.... so who knows.

PSU +5

Minny TT U66
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  #36 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2011, 12:21 PM
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I think the odds are better than a coin flip that Penn st wins this game outright. +185 on the ML is a good play in this situation.
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  #37 (permalink)  
Old 03-06-2011, 12:22 PM
Caitlyn Cwissy Caitlyn Cwissy is offline
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Minnesucka -4.5
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Old 03-06-2011, 02:26 PM
Caitlyn Cwissy Caitlyn Cwissy is offline
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your pos team has cost me and my cat a lot of money.
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