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Old 01-16-2009, 10:22 AM
Rogthedodger Rogthedodger is offline
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Default UFC 93: Preview and Predictions...By Jay Graziani

UFC 93: Franklin vs. Henderson
Saturday, January 17th, 3 PM ET live (10 PM replay) on PPV
O2, Dublin
Weigh-in: Friday, January 16th, 11 AM ET, live on UFC.com
Current odds from Bookmaker.com

Dennis Siver (12-6-0) vs. Nate Mohr (8-5-0)
Current Odds: Siver -155; Mohr +125

While Siver has a decent number of fights under his belt, he's a paltry 1-3 against the higher level competition of the UFC. Mohr also hasn't had much success in the UFC, going 1-2 and losing his only PPV appearance, a first round defeat by Manny Gamburyan. Both come from kickboxing backgrounds, so expect this to stay standing, where Mohr's reach and speed may give him the a slight edge. Prediction: Mohr, 2nd round TKO.

Tom "The Tank" Egan (3-0-0) vs. John "The Hitman" Hathaway (9-0-0)
Current Odds: Egan +200; Hathaway -250

Egan's a local recruit with a sparse, but unblemished, record in small promotions. Hathaway at least has 2-1/2 years of experience behind him, yet he hasn't really been challenged. At just 41 years of age combined and with no real credentials to either's credit, this fight is impossible to call. Prediction: Egan, 1st round TKO.

Tomasz "Gorilla" Drwal (14-2-0) vs. Ivan "Il Terribile" Serati (10-2-0)
Current Odds: Drwal -275; Serati +215

Drwal fell to Thiago Silva in his UFC debut as a 5-to-2 underdog. He kept the fight standing, but was unable to go punch for punch with Silva. While he is highly acclaimed in Europe, he has yet to find similar attention in the U.S. Serati has fought his way up through the Italian MMA scene to make his UFC debut here. He is a powerful former boxer with 7 of his 10 wins coming by stoppage less than 1 minute into the first round. Drwal is the all-around better fighter, but Serati has KO power and Drwal had trouble staying away from Silva's strikes. Prediction: Serati, 1st round TKO.

Eric "Red" Schafer (10-3-2) vs. Antonio "Samuray" Mendes (15-3-0)
Current Odds: Schafer -145; Mendes +115

Schafer has a 2-2 record in the UFC, with losses to Stephan Bonnar and Michael Bisping, though he rebounded with a first round submission win over Houston Alexander in September. Schafer has a strong submission and grappling background and will look to take this to the ground early against a strong striker. Mendes was submitted via the strikes of Thiago Silva in his UFC debut. His kicks and knees should be the key to this fight, if he can keep it standing. Prediction: Mendes, 3rd round TKO.

Martin "The Hitman" Kampmann (13-2-0) vs. Alexandre "Baixinho" Barros (13-5-0)
Current Odds: Kampmann -455; Barros +375

Kampmann had been on a roll, winning his first 4 UFC bouts, including 3 in the 1st round. That came to an end when he took a beating from Nate Marquardt en route to a 1st round TKO loss in September. Kampmann has now moved down to welterweight, where his size may be an advantage. He will have a height and reach advantage over Barros, a Brazilian product who is making his UFC debut. Barros has 3 more fights than Kampmann, a career that spans all the way back to 1999. He hasn't fought many opponents of note, with the exception of a loss to Matt Hughes in 2000. Kampmann's experience and size advantage should propel him back into contender status. Prediction: Kampmann, 2nd round TKO.

Marcus "The Irish Hand Grenade" Davis (15-4-0) vs. Chris "Lights Out" Lytle (26-16-5)
Current Odds: Davis -145; Lytle +115

David underperformed in has last fight, though he's won 7 of his last 8 in the Octagon. The only mar is a decision loss to a very tough opponent, Mike Swick. Lytle, while experienced, really struggled in his last fight where he stole a controversial decision win despite being a 7-to-2 favorite. He lost two of three prior to that, so despite the widely-trumpeted fact that he has never been knocked out or submitted, he still has lost his fair share of fights and taken his share of beatings. Unless Lytle's standup has improved greatly from his last flop, expect Davis's superior boxing to pick him apart. Prediction: Davis, 3rd round TKO.

Jeremy Horn (80-18-5) vs. Rousimar "Toquinho" Palhares (8-2-0)
Current Odds: Horn +310; Palhares -380

Once a feared jiu-jitsu expert, Horn is on his way out. He's lost 4 of his last 6 overall, including 2 straight UFC losses, both surprisingly by submission. Palhares is coming off a respectable decision loss to Dan Henderson that ended a streak of 6 straight first round victories. Palhares may be able to one-up Horn in his specialty, the jiu-jitsu department, though Horn's much longer limbs give him a bit of a physical edge. Palhares may be green, but Horn's just playing the gatekeeper role here. Nonetheless, this will likely be a chess game between two submission experts, so I'll take the bonus bucks with the underdog. Prediction: Horn by decision.

Alan "The Talent" Belcher (13-5-0) vs. Denis Kang (31-10-1)
Current Odds: Belcher +215; Kang -275

Belcher edged out a decision win against Ed Herman to bounce back from a surprisingly loss to Jason Day, a fight in which he was a 4-to-1 favorite. He's an unimpressive 4-3 in the UFC. Kang, a PRIDE veteran, is making his UFC debut and was once ranked among the top fighters in the world. He's fallen off a bit lately, losing 3 of his last 6, but his experience will prove too much for Belcher who has yet to prove himself. Prediction: Kang, 1st round TKO.

Mark "The Hammer" Coleman (15-8-0) vs. Mauricio "Shogun" Rua (16-3-0)
Current Odds: Coleman +335; Rua -415

While Mark Coleman is a true legend of the sport, the fact that he is still fighting is either laughable or pathetic, depending on your perspective. He has lost his last 3 in the Octagon; granted, the most recent of those losses was over a decade ago. Despite beginning his career in 1996, he has fought less than two dozen times, most recently in 2006, and ended his career on a 3-4 run. Not ironically, his last win was against Rua, though it was due to a freak elbow dislocation in the first round. Rust could be a concern, as Rua's knee injury has kept him from fighting since his September 2007 loss to Forrest Griffin, a shocking upset. Coleman shouldn't even be in the ring and Rua is more talented and out for revenge, making for what should be a very lopsided fight. Prediction: Rua, 1st round TKO.

Rich "Ace" Franklin (24-3-0) vs. Dan "Hendo" Henderson (23-7-0)
Current Odds: Franklin -105; Henderson -125

This is a battle of two all-star veterans, both of whom are on the decline and shouldn't be headlining a pay-per-view at the moment. Nonetheless this should be an interesting match-up in styles and strategies. Franklin has won 12 of his last 14 dating back to 2004, and both of those losses were to Anderson Silva. The only other fighter to defeat him in his storied career is Lyoto Machida. Henderson is only 1-2 since coming to the UFC, but those losses were to elite opponents in Quinton Jackson and Anderson Silva. This is only Franklin's second fight at Light Heavyweight, though he wasn't outmuscled by the ox known as Matt Hamill in his last fight. Henderson has held titles at both middleweight and light heavyweights, so he's comfortable jumping around weight classes as well. This is a close fight, but Franklin should be able to pepper Henderson with strikes from stand-up. Franklin's shown good ability to handle different fighting styles and his recent win over Matt Hamill should provide a model for this fight. Prediction: Franklin by decision.

Picks: 2008: 26-27, -8.95 units; Best Bets: 8-9 -3.90 units; (Lifetime: 51-58 -11.05; Best Bets 14-15 -4.50)
Antonio Mendes +115
Marcus Davis -145 (Best Bet)
Mauricio Rua -400
Rich Franklin -105


Opinions: 2008: 37-33 +15.70 units; (Lifetime: 68-55 +17.95)
Nate Mohr +125
Tom Egan +200
Ivan Serati +215
Martin Kampmann -455
Jeremy Horn +310
Denis Kang -275


01-16-09
Jay Graziani
MajorWager.com
graziani@majorwager.com

http://www.majorwager.com/frontline-723.html
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Old 01-16-2009, 12:44 PM
drunkguy drunkguy is offline
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this has to be one of the worst cards UFC has put out in a while

they're starting to milk their customers a luittle too dry with these syb=par PPVs
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Old 01-16-2009, 01:25 PM
chairibofjustice chairibofjustice is offline
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UFC 92 was one of the most stacked cards ever so there's going to be a little let down.

And no the card isn't as bad as you make it out to be. Give it a chance.
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Old 01-16-2009, 02:35 PM
zewkey zewkey is offline
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not my favorite card either. but... if theyre going fill a card with scrubs, im happy that it's happening across the pond.

everyone looked good at weigh ins. franklin looked much bigger than hendo, could have been the camera angle but i thought he was thicker and much taller.

i agree with jay's best bet on davis. i think he should be closer to -225. its probably the worst matchup lytle could get. unless something crazy happens, davis should get in 2-1 on effective punches. i also suspect lytle could be slowing down a bit.
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Old 01-16-2009, 08:44 PM
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Call me crazy, but I love the card. Belcher vs Kang will be a great fight. Allan is underrated and has nasty muay thai. See Lytle vs Koscheck if you want to watch Chris' worst matchup stylistically. I think he matches up quite evenly with Marcus. Close fight. Everyone and their brother is picking Hendo over Ace, but for some reason my gut says Ace will win by un dec... Dan is very durable and almost impossible to take out by TKO. While I think that Palhares is overrated, Horn has really looked like crap lately. Like he doesn't even want to be in there. I haven't seen any weigh-in pics yet, but hopefully Shogun actually trained for this fight. It would be a (boring) shame to see Coleman LayNpray him.
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Old 01-16-2009, 09:38 PM
chairibofjustice chairibofjustice is offline
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Coleman looks like Nosferatu.
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Old 01-16-2009, 10:04 PM
drunkguy drunkguy is offline
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holy shit he's looks like garbage




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Old 01-16-2009, 11:54 PM
ChuckyTheGoat ChuckyTheGoat is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by drunkguy View Post
holy shit he's looks like garbage




Did he even bother training for this fight?

Also, isn't there a better candidate out there than this f'in guy?
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Old 01-17-2009, 12:33 AM
homedog homedog is offline
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HGH in an old man.
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Old 01-17-2009, 05:52 AM
THUMPER THUMPER is offline
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Coleman is old and has used too many roids over the years, that's why he looks like that. He's one of those guys who has the nuts to fight whoever, which is why they still use him. I doubt all the new casual fans that create all the profits will care about him. He was supposed to fight Lesnar in Minnesota, but dropped out and was replaced by Herring.

Another reason for this matchup is that Coleman beat Shogun after a freak broken arm injury from a takedown during a Pride FC event. It started a brawl in the ring between the two camps. He should be able to throw Rua around in the beginning, but will most likely run out of gas and either eat about 25 unanswered shots and lose by TKO, or get submitted.
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Old 01-17-2009, 04:31 PM
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here's a good live feed now

MMATurf.net/Videos/Gifs/Profile Layouts and Backgrounds
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Old 01-17-2009, 04:50 PM
drunkguy drunkguy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by surfin joe View Post
thanks
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Old 01-17-2009, 04:53 PM
drunkguy drunkguy is offline
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Dennis Siver vs. Nate Mohr
Round 1
Siver opens the card by landing a headkick followed by a heavy right hand. Feeling that Mohr is rocked, Siver follows with a plethora of punches, which drop Mohr to the canvas. Mohr recovers, but is chased by Siver. Sensing that he is in danger, Mohr secures a takedown and instantly moves to mount. Unable to land any damaging ground-and-pound, he allows Siver to the chance to retain half guard. Referee Kevin Mulhall separates the fighters after the action stalls. The frame ends with both fighters trading punches on the feet. Mohr takes the round 10-9 on the strength of his takedown and control.

Round 2
The second round begins very tentaively as both fighters look to find an opening on the feet. Mohr dictates the pace as he lands faster combinations and stuns Siver with a head kick. Siver starts to push the fight towards the end of the round as he comes forward landing combos and leg kicks. Due to his willingness to come forward, Siver edges Mohr in the second frame, 10-9.

Round 3
The final frame starts with Siver looking like the fresher fighter in the Octagon. He is staying active with his jab and right hand. Siver shoots a single-leg that is defended well by Mohr. With a minute and a half left, Siver lands a beautiful spinning-back kick which folds Mohr. Siver follows with some punches on the downed fighter until Mulhall calls the contest at 3:27 of the third.

Tomasz Drwal vs. Ivan Serati
Round 1
Serati shoots a fast double-leg takedown, but Drwal shrugs it off with ease. Looking for another shot, Serati is stuffed once again. Drawl gets a takedown of his own and instantly goes to work with hard punches. Several find their target and referee Leon Roberts steps in to save Serati at 2:02 of the opening frame.

Eric Schafer vs. Antonio Mendes
Round 1
Looking to utilize his BJJ skills, Schafer presses Mendes against the fencing. Unable to secure a leg, Schafer fails on his takedown and is taken to his back but he doesn’t stay there long, using a textbook sweep to take the mount. Showing a good base, Schafer bombs away from the mount with punches. Mendes, unable to defend himself, offers little until referee Dan Miragliotta calls the bout at the 3:35 mark of round one.

Martin Kampmann vs. Alexandre Barros
Round 1
After a slow start to the bout, Barros looks to land an inside-leg kick. Kampmann moves backwards and the kick slaps his cup directly. Clearly in pain, Kampmann lies on the Octagon floor and uses his full allotted time to recover. When the action is resumed, Kampmann lands a crisp body kick and initiates a couple of knees from the Thai plum. Barros drops levels for a takedown and is caught in a guillotine choke. Barros escapes and gets a lateral drop to take Kampmann’s back. Referee Kevin Mulhall stands up the fighters before the round expires. Barros takes the first, 10-9.

Round 2
Kampmann works from the clinch early in the second stanza and takes the top position on the floor following a scramble. Working over his opponent with punches, Kampmann finds the opening to take mount. Hurting Barros with a number of shots, Kampmann moves to the back, where he finishes Barros at 3:07 of the second after Mulhall had seen enough.

Thomas Egan vs. John Hathaway
Round 1
Hometown favorite Tom Egan comes out to a rapturous reception as his opponent is greeted with a chorus of jeers. There is no doubt who the crowd is behind in the evening’s final preliminary bout. Hathaway gets a big slam to start the bout. Egan is showing he is a hard man to hold down, as he scrambles and forces his opponent to work hard to get off any offense. Egan gets back to his feet but he is dragged immediately back to the floor. Passing first to side-control and then the back of Egan, Hathaway lands some elbows to the head that prompt referee Marc Goddard to save the local hero at 4:36 of the first.

Marcus Davis vs. Chris Lytle
Round 1
Both men charge to the center of the Octagon. Lytle opens up with his hands and absolutely blasts Davis with a punching flurry. Davis, a former boxer like Lytle, recovers quickly and trades a few low kicks. A straight left and a body kick connect for Davis. At the midway point of round one, both fighters swing for the fences and nothing lands clean. Davis catches a low kick and shoves Lytle to the floor. A left hand lead lands for the southpaw Davis. An incidental clash of heads sends Lytle briefly to the canvas, but Davis allows him to stand. Lytle absorbs a flying knee, a stiff body kick and another left hand. After a shaky start, the first round is all Davis.

Jordan Breen scores the round: 10-9 Davis
Lotfi Sariahmed scores the round: 10-9 Davis
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Davis

Round 2
Lytle tees off again with a flurry of punches to start a round. Davis is getting caught as he covers up against the fencing. Davis runs out of harms way and resets himself. Davis puts together a punching combination that sends Lytle to the canvas. He stands and is cracked by a Davis knee to the chest. And another. Davis continues to work the body with stiff kicks from his left leg. Lytle gets wild with his hands as he misses a fury of haymakers from both hands. Lytle is tiring and it shows with his impatience and lack of balance. Lytle lands his best punch since the opening seconds of the round, a straight right lead. Davis misses on a jumping knee as he bleeds from the nose. The men walk to the center of the Octagon to trade punches in the final 10 seconds.

Jordan Breen scores the round: 10-9 Davis
Lotfi Sariahmed scores the round: 10-9 Lytle
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Davis


Round 3
The fighters embrace for a long hug to start the final frame. A counter-left hook from Davis finds a home on the jaw of Lytle. To the front leg of Lytle goes Davis with two low kicks. Lytle’s face is showing signs of abuse as his left eye begins to swell. Davis connects with a low kick and a left hook to the body. Lytle lands a hard right straight to the midsection. Davis answers with a jumping knee to the same region. Lytle’s punches are looking more looping as time wears on, while as Davis continues to punch straight and kick the body and legs fluidly. A right hand from Lytle swells Davis’ left cheekbone up. A solid left counter connects for Lytle. A decent slugest to start Saturday’s pay-per-view broadcast.

Jordan Breen scores the round: 10-9 Davis
Lotfi Sariahmed scores the round: 10-9 Davis
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Davis




The official judges’ scorecards read:
29-28 Davis.
29-28 Lytle.
29-28 Davis. Marcus Davis takes a split-decision that didn’t look that close.
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Old 01-17-2009, 05:02 PM
drunkguy drunkguy is offline
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Alan Belcher vs. Denis Kang
Round 1
The fighters exchange hard punches and both land. Kang drops levels for a single-leg and he gets it. Kang passes to half-guard and briefly side-control. Belcher gets back to guard and pushes Kang off. Now back to his feet, Belcher gets caught with a right and a left. Kang easily gets another takedown. In half-guard, Kang locks on a kimura, but loses it just as he passes to side-control. Kang delivers knees to the body to close the round.

Jordan Breen scores the round: 10-9 Kang
Lotfi Sariahmed scores the round: 10-9 Kang
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Kang

Round 2
Kang gets off with an early series of punches and Belchers answers with a right hand. Kang gets a smooth takedown into Belcher’s guard. Kang moves to half guard and looks briefly for a kimura. He gives up the hold as he is stuck in Belcher’s defensive half-guard. Kang backs out and ends up in Belcher’s full guard. Referee Dan Miragliotta stands the fighters up with 90 seconds remaining. The crowd is growing restless as the fighters circle. Kang gets busy with his hands but he can’t connect. Kang shoots for a single but is caught in a guillotine. He turns Kang over and forces a tapout. The official time is 4:36 of the second.
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Old 01-17-2009, 05:19 PM
THUMPER THUMPER is offline
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Horn's getting owned.
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Old 01-17-2009, 05:25 PM
drunkguy drunkguy is offline
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nice 2nd round for him though, palhares really ran out of gas
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Old 01-17-2009, 05:32 PM
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I think we have a new world record for the most hammer fists to the side of the dome.

That said, Horn doesn't look hurt at all. Tough dude.
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Old 01-17-2009, 05:33 PM
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Jeremy Horn vs. Rousimar Palhares
Round 1
Palhares throws a wild right-hand haymaker and transitions to a successful trip. Only seconds pass before Palhares is on Horn’s back with one hook in. Palhares punches and hammerfists the head. Horn rolls over and Palhares stays on him tightly. After a beating dished out by Palhares with his left hand, Horn gets back to a closed guard. Palhares drops down for a heel hook, but Horn is game, he escapes and attempts a triangle choke. Palhares has none of it, as he powers out and returns to side-control and the back position. Palhares is fluid on the canvas. He rides horn like a quarter-horse jockey as he continuously looks for a dominant position and window of attack.

Jordan Breen scores the round: 10-8 Palhares
Lotfi Sariahmed scores the round: 10-9 Palhares
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Palhares

Round 2
Palhares gets a quick takedown to start round two. Referee Leon Roberts warns Palhares twice for holding the cage as the fighters scrambled on the floor for position. Palhares takes the back of Horn and tees off with punches. Roberts warns Horn to defend himself and horn answers by taking the top position. Horn mounts Palhares and locks on an arm-triangle choke before moving to side-control. The hold is deep, but Palhares is too strong. He muscles himself out of danger and stands to his feet. Palhares displays a jab and is hit with a right hand. Palhares drops his base and gets a takedown into Horn’s guard. Horn goes high with his hips in search of a triangle. Palhares escapes and punches the head until the horn sounds.

Jordan Breen scores the round: 10-9 Palhares
Lotfi Sariahmed scores the round: 10-9 Palhares
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Horn

Round 3
Palhares suplexes Horn hard to the canvas. Horn works back to his feet, where he pulls guard with a guillotine. Palhares sees it coming and avoids the technique. Palhares seems content to punch from guard as he rests and throws lazy punches until Horn attempts a triangle. Palhares passes and moves to Horn’s back, where he strikes the side of the head with his right hand. Horn nearly gets to his feet but has to settle for guard. Roberts stands the fighters with 60 seconds remaining. Horn glances a right-legged head kick and slips shortly after. Palhares hops on top and rides out the bout’s final moments.

Jordan Breen scores the round: 10-9 Palhares
Lotfi Sariahmed scores the round: 10-9 Palhares
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Palhares

All three judges see the bout 30-27 for Rousimar Palhares.
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Old 01-17-2009, 05:34 PM
drunkguy drunkguy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by surfin joe View Post
I think we have a new world record for the most hammer fists to the side of the dome.

That said, Horn doesn't look hurt at all. Tough dude.
lol yea he broke his hand off jeremy's skull


good fight
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