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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 11-04-2008, 06:50 PM
KoolPappy KoolPappy is offline
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Default 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION NIGHT THREAD

5:45 PM EST...CNN has James Carville on gloating and they have all but called Obama the winner...

First Polls Close at 6:00 PM EST...

Sould be an interesting and perhaps historic night...
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Old 11-04-2008, 06:52 PM
Caitlyn Cwissy Caitlyn Cwissy is offline
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How I wish I had $1000 to burn right now. All in on McCain. He will reach 25-1 by 7pm. Obama may win, but these exit polls are bunk. It will come down to 5 states and McCain is within the MOE in all 5.

Florida
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Missouri
Colorado

McCain sweeps these, crown his ass.
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Old 11-04-2008, 06:58 PM
robin robin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dell Dude View Post
How I wish I had $1000 to burn right now. All in on McCain. He will reach 25-1 by 7pm. Obama may win, but these exit polls are bunk. It will come down to 5 states and McCain is within the MOE in all 5.

Florida
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Missouri
Colorado

McCain sweeps these, crown his ass.


the funny thing is the true odds of him sweeping those 5 states is so much more than 25/1 its comical.


try 500/1 or more
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:04 PM
Caitlyn Cwissy Caitlyn Cwissy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by robin View Post
the funny thing is the true odds of him sweeping those 5 states is so much more than 25/1 its comical.


try 500/1 or more
You are incorrect, Mister Brain. Those states are like a correlated parlay. If McCain wins Pennsylvania, the odds of him winning the rest shoot up. These are not 5 totally unrelated outcomes. They are tied to each other.
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:07 PM
Superfly Superfly is offline
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Too bad you don't have $1000 so I could take it from you betting against your ridiculous NFL picks.
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:07 PM
Caitlyn Cwissy Caitlyn Cwissy is offline
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If McCain wins Pennsylvania, he wins North Carolina and Virginia and Indiana, and basically Florida and Ohio. He'll win em all. That means he only needs pick off Colorado or New Mexico to reach 270. I don't know the exact combination, but picking up all those states makes him the chalk fo sho. I am not saying this is going to happen. I'm saying it is worth the risk of betting it. Penn will be close, mark my words...
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:16 PM
robin robin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dell Dude View Post
You are incorrect, Mister Brain. Those states are like a correlated parlay. If McCain wins Pennsylvania, the odds of him winning the rest shoot up. These are not 5 totally unrelated outcomes. They are tied to each other.

dam youre a dumb sob. truly.


i honestly feel bad for your parents if u believe what u say.


throw a 1000 and a 900 in a 5 team parlay and u tell me the odds
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:18 PM
Caitlyn Cwissy Caitlyn Cwissy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by robin View Post
dam youre a dumb sob. truly.


i honestly feel bad for your parents if u believe what u say.


throw a 1000 and a 900 in a 5 team parlay and u tell me the odds
I am just going to wait until I am shown to be right and bump your words.
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:18 PM
KoolPappy KoolPappy is offline
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I mis-stated earlier...first polls close at 7 PM EST...40ish minutes...Indiana and Kentucky
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:18 PM
robin robin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dell Dude View Post
If McCain wins Pennsylvania, he wins North Carolina and Virginia and Indiana, and basically Florida and Ohio. He'll win em all. That means he only needs pick off Colorado or New Mexico to reach 270. I don't know the exact combination, but picking up all those states makes him the chalk fo sho. I am not saying this is going to happen. I'm saying it is worth the risk of betting it. Penn will be close, mark my words...


what do u consider close? u wanta bet the remainder of your contest funds on it just for kicks?

hell win penn by 4 or more.
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:19 PM
Caitlyn Cwissy Caitlyn Cwissy is offline
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Did the map. Penn makes Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico irrelevant. McCain will only need to sweep the south, win Ohio and win Missouri and he wins. Basically, Pennsylvania is this year's Florida. He loses that, might as well go to sleep.
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:21 PM
MRW2276 MRW2276 is offline
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robin he's right that Ohio and PA are highly correlated (not sure about the rest). If those exit polls numbers are correct it looks like ohio is going to go Dem (which means PA most likely does as well since it's much more blue in PA cities of Pitt and Philly then ohio cities are mainly due to Cinn being redish and not Clev) and Virginia to Repubs (but way early so who knows).
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:23 PM
KoolPappy KoolPappy is offline
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I hope I don't offend anyone here, but what kind of person shows up to vote and is not even registered to vote?
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:24 PM
truckman truckman is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KoolPappyPD View Post
5:45 PM EST...CNN has James Carville on gloating and they have all but called Obama the winner...

First Polls Close at 6:00 PM EST...

Sould be an interesting and perhaps historic night...
Keep me posted. Stuck at work. Don't know when I'll get out of here.
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:25 PM
robin robin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MRW2276 View Post
robin he's right that Ohio and PA are highly correlated (not sure about the rest). If those exit polls numbers are correct it looks like ohio is going to go Dem (which means PA most likely does as well since it's much more blue in PA cities of Pitt and Philly then ohio cities are mainly due to Cin not Clev) and Virginia to Repubs (but way early so who knows).

respectfully dont agree, and will say again getting 25 to 1 on that 5 team parlay would be one of the worst bets in the history of gambling.
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:26 PM
KoolPappy KoolPappy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by truckman View Post
Keep me posted. Stuck at work. Don't know when I'll get out of here.
Play a few hands of Blackjack...
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:27 PM
robin robin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dell Dude View Post
Did the map. Penn makes Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico irrelevant. McCain will only need to sweep the south, win Ohio and win Missouri and he wins. Basically, Pennsylvania is this year's Florida. He loses that, might as well go to sleep.


yes dell i will admit that if mccain can sweep 7 states hes behind or tied at he might win.

good point.
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:29 PM
MRW2276 MRW2276 is offline
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To sum up ohio Cinn=kentucky Clev and southeast ohio=PA Columbus is the curve ball.
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Old 11-04-2008, 07:33 PM
PhillyFanatic PhillyFanatic is offline
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PA hasn't gone to a Republican nominee since the 1988 landslide, and will continue to be democratic through 2012. McCain's constant campaigning in the state is just giving Republicans false hope - Obama wins this state by about 300,000 votes (5%).
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