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  #20 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 03:22 PM
howid howid is offline
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Derek Lowe is 9-10 and he's -230???

Sure must be a lot of anti-sweep money there.
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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 03:55 PM
Scott Landau Scott Landau is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
Dewitt:

Do you have any hard stats on Favs the last 2 or 3 weeks. I'm a casual American League bettor. Almost always dogs.

Teams like Oak/Sea/Cle have been showing up as value dogs the last few weeks. Needless to say, I've lost my ass on plays of late and have shut it down for now.

Entering today's action Faves of -110 or higher are 73-31 the last 9 days.
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  #22 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 04:04 PM
Scott Landau Scott Landau is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dewitt22 View Post
Scott Landau,

I am generally a prudent person.

Just bet a little "sum'n-sum'n" on every dog. 8 games,.......I skipped OAK/SEA.

Likely to lick some wounds tomorrow,.....but might win a couple. ;-)

Squares are HAMMMMMMMMERING the favs today. Going for broke,.......perhaps literally.

peace and best of luck to all!

D.
I research every game. I try to avoid looking at the line until I'm finished but it is hard to do. I try to determine value afterward, by asking myself questions like -- "Hey, I can get +150 with these jerkoffs. If I bet these jerkoffs vs those jerkoffs in this situation 100 times will I do better than 40-60?" If I believe the answer is yes I throw down.

I usually profit every season but no matter what every year I have a horrifying 3-4 week slump that causes sportspagers to fly in all directions. EVERY SINGLE YEAR! Last year it started with the Yankee's 5 run 9th against Borowski and lasted through late May. This year I had the greatest May ever! Pretty good all year until about 3 weeks ago.

Now Football comes on top of this. That's what makes full time capping a tedious undertaking. 3-4 days off the entire year!
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  #23 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 04:07 PM
WhereYaMamiAt WhereYaMamiAt is offline
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this assclown gives up a homerun to big z....i know hes a good hitter but pretty pitiful when your giving up dingers to pitchers
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  #24 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 05:06 PM
th3ory th3ory is offline
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hoping some offense is gunna show up in chicago :X
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  #25 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 05:14 PM
Dunny Dunny is offline
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Big Z just got relieved. maybe that will help get things rolling. I have the Reds and the OVER.
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  #26 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 05:19 PM
WhereYaMamiAt WhereYaMamiAt is offline
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whoooo votto comes through..my rl is back in business..now lets keep it this way
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  #27 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 05:27 PM
th3ory th3ory is offline
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now if i had the cubs game under....runs would come pouring in the next 15 minutes......anyone got any good totals tonight?
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  #28 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 05:38 PM
WhereYaMamiAt WhereYaMamiAt is offline
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1 down 2 to go for the day parlay
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  #29 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 06:51 PM
Scott Landau Scott Landau is offline
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Adding NYY +170. Too much value.

Note Trend oak/sea -- Been betting Greg Smith UNDER all year. He's now gone UNDER in 19 of his last 20 starts. This game though is so meaningless I actually thought about playing the trend to break. PASS!
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  #30 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 07:00 PM
ChuckyTheGoat ChuckyTheGoat is offline
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Thx, Landau. Been a rough run.
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  #31 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 07:01 PM
RaisinCapital RaisinCapital is offline
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Few trends in tonights Oak/Sea game to the under.

I care that Geren's been pulling him after 5 since this rookie hit the wall 9 starts ago. He's arm is live, stuff good, but he has trouble getting through 6. But since injuries to Duke & Sean have forced Oakland to bring up would be potential middle inning relievers into their starting rotation, oakland must pitch their best arms in relief no matter the score. Thats under insurance to me.

I've said so many times that Oakland can't score on Lefties i hope you guys look at opposing pitcher, see the 'L' next to name, click under, then submit. It's hitting 72% on the year.
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  #32 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 07:06 PM
Scott Landau Scott Landau is offline
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Now I'm being tempted to sucker for this. [Add in] OAK has scored 3 runs or less in 18 of last 21 Road. SEA, although 'O' is hotter lately is 72-34 to score 4 Runs or LESS last 106 games. Still, someone is getting 3 in the first inning here. I'm passing, so you guys go ahead and POUND IT!
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  #33 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 07:12 PM
RaisinCapital RaisinCapital is offline
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These totals are set way too high today ( & last few days). Sportys in his backyard burying money no joke. Haven't seen in two days cuz he's halfway to china will all that loot.

Webb, Lackey, Halladay, Oak, and no 7's or 7.5's to be found. Seriously.

Something is wrong with this picture???
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  #34 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 07:19 PM
WhereYaMamiAt WhereYaMamiAt is offline
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going with sf +3 1h....ny/tor u 8 1/2....mets/braves u 9..lets get it
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  #35 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 07:54 PM
luke m. luke m. is online now
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Raisin Bran, I love Oakland tonight!
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  #36 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 07:59 PM
RaisinCapital RaisinCapital is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by luke m. View Post
Raisin Bran, I love Oakland tonight!
Good man!! They are pretty pumped in the clubhouse to get Smitty a victory. I see a shutout coming... 3-0 oaktown.
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  #37 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 08:07 PM
luke m. luke m. is online now
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I like Redding as a big dog with Wash. Nats!
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  #38 (permalink)  
Old 08-21-2008, 09:03 PM
WhereYaMamiAt WhereYaMamiAt is offline
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fuckin ponson is a piece of shit
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