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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 04-08-2007, 12:26 PM
Spraguer Spraguer is offline
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 3,423
Default Backup Catchers

Today is the first full Sunday of MLB action in the 2007 season, so it is a good time to be cognizant of one particular factor in teams' depth charts: backup catchers. Traditionally, a backup catcher plays in a day game when the team played a night game the evening before. Often (but not always) that day is Sunday. Inserting a backup catcher can change the value of an offence dramatically - and if you can anticipate the day a backup catcher plays before the lineups are posted, you can sometimes get a good jump on the line.

So here is the current list of backup catcher run values (includes offence only) relative to the starting catcher, taken from the numbers that I use. The numbers represent the difference in expected runs scored for the team with the backup catcher rather than the starter.

Arz Snyder:Montero +.02
Atl McCann:Pena -.28
Bal Hernandez:Bako -.42
Bos Varitek:Mirabelli -.24
ChC Barrett:Blanco -.19
ChW Pierzynski:Hall -.12
Cin Ross:Valentin -.09
Cle Martinez:Shoppach -.18
Col Ianetta:Torrealba -.17
Det Rodriguez:Wilson -.09
Fla Olivo:Treanor -.11
Hou Ausmus:Quintero +.15
KC Buck:LaRue -.05
LAA Napoli:Molina -.25
LAD Martin:Lieberthal -.06
Mil Estrada:Miller -.03
Min Mauer:Redmond -.35
NYM Lo Duca:Castro -.05
NYY Posada:Nieves -.44
Oak Kendall:Melhuse -.13
Phi Barajas:Ruiz +.04
Pit Paulino:Cota -.19
SD Bard:Bowen -.10
SF Molina:Alfonzo -.07
Sea Johjima:Clement -.18
StL Molina:Bennett -.12
TB Navarro:Paul -.17
Tex Laird:Ojeda -.13
Tor Zaun:Phillips -.34
Was Schnieder:Flores -.05

As you can see, sometimes it makes a big difference.

Hope this helps.
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Old 04-08-2007, 12:30 PM
Bostongambler Bostongambler is offline
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Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 36,392

Since Mirabelli can't even hit the ball out of his hand, you might be on to something.

But he is in there because of wakefield and the knuckleball as we know.
Let hatred turn into friendship because of your existence.
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Old 04-08-2007, 12:31 PM
Spraguer Spraguer is offline
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 3,423

That's right BG. Forgot to mention that.

Barry Bonds also usually rests the day game after a night game.

Also, there is some question as to who the starting catcher is in Arizona and Kansas City.
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Old 04-09-2007, 04:52 AM
dinque dinque is offline
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 4,044

surprised on the detroit and toronto ratings.
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Old 04-09-2007, 07:11 AM
jjdman jjdman is offline
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 3,539

Yesterday Bako hits 3 run HR to beat the Yanks
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Old 04-09-2007, 10:34 AM
Spraguer Spraguer is offline
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Posts: 3,423

Jason Phillips is really bad, Dinque. Hasn't had an OBP over .300 since 2003.
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