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| Mess Hall Online Sportsbook Discussion |
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| In seven-game series over the past 30 years, the team that won Game 6 to tie the series also won Game 7 13 out of 16 times. This trend evens out as you go back to 1955 (15-14 since then), but Game 6 teams are on an incredible run since the mid-'70s. |
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| Here's the seven-game series, with Game 6 & 7 results: 2002 World Series -- Angels win Games 6 & 7 2001 World Series -- D'Backs win Games 6 & 7 1997 World Series -- Tribe & Marlins split Games 6 & 7 1996 NLCS -- Braves win Games 6 & 7 1991 World Series -- Twins win Games 6 & 7 1991 NLCS -- Braves win Games 6 & 7 1988 NLCS -- Dodgers & Mets split Games 6 & 7 1987 World Series -- Twins win Games 6 & 7 1987 NLCS -- Giants win Games 6 & 7 1986 World Series -- Mets win Games 6 & 7 1986 ALCS -- Red Sox win Games 6 & 7 1985 World Series -- Royals win Games 6 & 7 1982 World Series -- Cards win Games 6 & 7 1979 World Series -- Pirates win Games 6 & 7 1975 World Series -- Reds & Red Sox split Games 6 & 7 1973 World Series -- A's win Games 6 & 7 This is where the big split began -- 1973. From 1973 and up, for whatever reason, Game 7s have gone to the team that won Game 6 to tie the series at 3-3. From 1955 to 1972, it was skewed the other way. And I guess you could say til 1975 it was skewed the other way, because 1973 & 1975 this trend was 1-1. But since the Pirates comeback in the 1979 World Series, the Game 6 winner goes on to win Game 7 almost exclusively. There is no reason for the Cubs to be a 2/1 favorite in this game. The statistics show dating back to 1955 that it's a 50/50 proposition for either team to win this game, and since 1979 the Game 6 winner takes the series at about 85%. |
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| The only pattern I see is that the home team has won GM 6 & GM 7 in recent years. Since the Cubs are the home team I don't think this trend means anything. Good pitching stops momentum anyway. Look what Josh Beckett did to the hot hitting Cubs in GM 5. The Cubs are big favorites to win GM 7 with Kerry Wood who is 4-0 with a 1.85 ERA career vs Fla. I would give that trend more serious consideration. |
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