Betting Lock of your life

FENWAY · 07-03-2003, 12:33 AM

Date/Time US 2004 Presidential Race
2004 US Presidential Election Party to Win
2/28/2004
source sirbet
Republican Party (-205)
Democratic Party (+185)
--------------------------------------------------------
DEMOCRATS win in a landslide

1. Bush lied no WMD
2. American soldiers died for no reason
3. The economy
4. Wall street scandals

HOPEFULLY WE GET TO NOV. 2004 BUSH COULD HAVE US ALL NUKED BY THEN, STAY OUT OF NORTH KOREA

Dennis · 07-03-2003, 12:46 AM

Hmmmm SirBet
20 cents lines on those numbers-
Looks like a gift to most people-
Payoff to winner when? Jan 2005?

Yep with those facts another proposition comes to mind,LOL.

Omni · 07-03-2003, 12:47 AM

OK Fenway, I'm not interested in a political debate so I'll try not to start one here. This is just why I feel this is not a good bet.

First of all WHICH Democrat? I don't see a good candadate yet that will have enough backing to take out Bush.

Bush lied no WMD No one cares. They didn't support the war because of WMD, it was because it became a humanitarian war to free people who were oppressed and tortured. That's why the polls shot up in support right before the war, and that why no one cares now that the weapons haven't been accounted for yet. They did not support the war because they suddenly believed there were WMD all of a sudden. Not debating the specific issue here about accountability, just pointing out that this will be a non issue for most voters IMO.

American soldiers died for no reason If they keep on dying over there, that could be a big problem. Agree.

3. The economy 4. Wall street scandals...Spin could solve this problem. the economy is an inherited problem. If they can convince people that it is getting better, they'll re-elect.

Just my opinions, but not a smart bet I think.

3rd&long · 07-03-2003, 12:51 AM

Superfly · 07-03-2003, 12:57 AM

Fenway- At -185, I'll book your bet for any amount up to 5 dimes. Go put it up at 121 bets and I'll take the other side.

big action · 07-03-2003, 01:10 AM

Bush has a ligitimate chance to win California in 2004. That is 54 Electoral Votes.

Texas + California = Game Over.

3rd&long · 07-03-2003, 01:36 AM

Not only is this a bad price to take, but it is likely that the price will go higher. Fenway is just engaging in some wishful thinking here. Even if there was some evidence that a viable candidate would emerge from the Dem primaries, there is zero value in taking the + at this point. I am suspicious that it is the Republicans who have donated so much money to Dean's candidacy, and you won't want to have a paltry +185 if it is Dean.

The Angry 'Burgher · 07-03-2003, 04:10 AM

No way the dems take it, I already have bets with some of my family members laying 1-5 on this and and have taken up the bets with a few giving 5-1 that California votes Bush. Also am pretty confident that my bet with my brother under 56 Senate seats for repubs, as I don't think they will gain much.

Nothing like a large family that likes to drink and wager to discuss politics and religion with.

Goo · 07-03-2003, 04:31 AM

It is a bad bet to take because unlike other bets where you know if you won or lost, by the time you get paid you could be dead.

niltes · 07-03-2003, 05:50 AM

even if you don't like bush; it's very difficult to find a democrat that is a credible candidate at the present time. it's very difficult to beat an incumbent president and getting approx 2-1 is hardly value let alone anything approaching a lock. unlike reno, horizon will never boot you.

pmj18 · 07-03-2003, 05:58 AM

Unless one is a credit player, who would let a Book keep your $ for 17 Mo's, hoping you will win the bet and the Book will still be around? LOL

Oddessa · 07-03-2003, 06:21 AM

Ali @ centrebet.

World Runner · 07-03-2003, 11:57 AM

Does it count if they try to steal the election? It didn't work in 2000...i'm just wondering how they grade the bet if they're succesful this time?

Dell Dude · 07-03-2003, 12:14 PM

I'm so confident Bush will win in '04 I'd do something I've never done before to get "down" on the bet. I'd make a genocide $3000 insta cash NETeller EFT on Dubya![img]i/expressions/face-icon-small-shocked.gif[/img]

World Runner · 07-03-2003, 12:27 PM

<< I'm so confident Bush will win in '04 I'd do something I've never done before to get "down" on the bet. I'd make a genocide $3000 insta cash NETeller EFT on Dubya![img]i/expressions/face-icon-small-shocked.gif[/img] >>

Yah, but don't do it now...wait until the day before the election, dont tie up your money that long.

Just think...if you get $3000 down...the next day you'd have $1500 to play parlays with!!!