MLB Divisional Series [Updated for LCS]

[Spraguer]

Haven't been around here in awhile.

Been crunching numbers all day - beginning to see Quattro Pro cells floating on the inside of my eyelids. Luckily, I've finished.

Series win probabilities

Oakland: 43.8%
Minnesota: 56.2%

Detroit: 28.4%
New York: 71.6%

St. Louis: 32.8%
San Diego: 67.2%

Los Angeles: 45.1%
New York: 54.9%

So, no false favourites, but some good value nonetheless.

Oakland +156
Detroit +290
San Diego -158
Los Angeles +135

[The Actuary]

THx for sharing, you seem a little high on the Yanks compared to some of the other objective numbers I have seen,

I think the bp site has them 65%.

appeciate the info. gl with your action.

TA

[deepsouth]

BP is pretty good and they have a lot of great info (I checked their playoff odds report every day for the last few months), but they can also be a little sloppy some times .. I remember them saying that the Cards should have been favored in the 2004 WS, when that just clearly wasn't true .. in general, I'd trust Spraguer's numbers over theirs.

I'd love to see the Tigers pull this off, but I think they're a vastly inferior team.

[Dr.Chau]

Nice work in AL

[Spraguer]

Detroit 43.9%
Oakland 56.1%

St. Louis 36.9%
New York 63.1%

Playing Oakland -105

[The Actuary]

Thx for the update, also thought OAK was at least a 51%er or should be favored.

GL with your action,
TA