ONLINE SPORTSBOOKS

Go Back   MajorWager Forums > MW - Online Sportsbooks > Handicapping "Think Tank"
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Handicapping "Think Tank" technical handicapping and statistics

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools
  #1 (permalink)  
Old 10-18-2005, 02:53 PM
wisegirl wisegirl is offline
Private
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 7
Default Newbie

Hi Folks, just joined this forum and I want to try my hand at handicapping sports I have a good knowledge of NFL, NCAA-football & basketball, NBA, MLB, NHL I just lack the knowledge on how to handicap a game and pick a winner if there anyone that could help me sort of take me under their wing and teach me It will be greatly appreciated. Thank-you all!!![img]i/expressions/face-icon-small-wink.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #2 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2005, 01:12 AM
Bostongambler Bostongambler is offline
Five Star General
 
Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 36,392
Default RE: Newbie

Are you really Female?
__________________
Let hatred turn into friendship because of your existence.
Reply With Quote
  #3 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2005, 02:49 PM
wisegirl wisegirl is offline
Private
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 7
Default RE:Newbie

first of all yes. and secondly if you do not have anything intellectual to say besides your smart ass sexist remarks, keep them to yourself and do not bother replying to the post and wasting my time!
Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2005, 05:46 PM
dinque dinque is offline
Captain
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 4,044
Default RE:Newbie

i would recommend calling gamblers book store in las vegas and telling them what you want to do.knowing about sports and knowing what a line should be are two very different things.alot of smart people in the sports field have lost a bunch of money not knowing about money management and shopping for a good number.95% percent of people who gamble lose,you must respect the game to beat the game.i remember handicapping 101 by arne lang was a good first read.
Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)  
Old 10-19-2005, 09:18 PM
MudinyourEye MudinyourEye is offline
Sergeant
 
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 1,366
Default RE:Newbie

There are some excellent books out there by authors such as Robert Ross or JR Miller. My suggestion would be to pick a sport and focus on it. Work your way through the NBA or college hoops season since these are coming up.

///Mud
Reply With Quote
  #6 (permalink)  
Old 10-21-2005, 01:41 AM
Liquid53 Liquid53 is offline
Private
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 16
Default RE:Newbie

We were all newbies to capping once, and the vegas bookstore is a great place to start. Good luck
Reply With Quote
  #7 (permalink)  
Old 10-22-2005, 10:48 AM
datadriven datadriven is offline
Corporal
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 143
Default RE:Newbie

Search and lurch around here I would suggest. There's a lot of good info here if you can wade through the bickering and BS.

This doesn't answer your question at all but most would say it's important to bet the best number, preferably at the best time. It can cost or make you a few units or winning% points a season for sure.

Practice; bet on paper based on your opinons as you go. You'll get a feel for how you look at games and how they turned out, and also how you handle the inevitable up and downs.
Reply With Quote
  #8 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2005, 09:08 PM
ChuckyTheGoat ChuckyTheGoat is offline
Three Star General
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 12,628
Default RE: Newbie

Mudinyoureye, you really like JR Miller? That guy's name has been dragged thru the mud. I read his NFL book, but I can't really recommend it.

I love Gamb Book Club. Really no comparable store. That said, you have to operate on the basis that if it's really good info, it's not going to be in print. GBC is a great place to pick up some charts and read a few ideas. But it certainly isn't the beginning and the end.
__________________
"Talk is cheap"

Pearl Jam: "...hearts & thoughts, they fade away..."
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9U4bf5OPTdc
Reply With Quote
  #9 (permalink)  
Old 11-02-2005, 03:49 PM
tsm123 tsm123 is offline
Corporal
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 108
Default RE: Newbie

Focus only on one sport.

Do not stray.

Ask questions from those who have been handicapping a long, long time. I suggest twenty plus years.

You will hear and read a lot of opinions. Despite the eloquent rhetoric, they aren't worth much.

Those "in the know" do not frequent public forums.

Those "in the know" protect and do not freely divulge what they know.

The information is too valuable to be given away.

Handicapping is far more difficult than you might imagine.

Reply With Quote
  #10 (permalink)  
Old 11-08-2005, 05:15 PM
MudinyourEye MudinyourEye is offline
Sergeant
 
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 1,366
Default RE:Newbie

Quote:
Originally posted by: ChuckyTheGoat
Mudinyoureye, you really like JR Miller? That guy's name has been dragged thru the mud. I read his NFL book, but I can't really recommend it.

I love Gamb Book Club. Really no comparable store. That said, you have to operate on the basis that if it's really good info, it's not going to be in print. GBC is a great place to pick up some charts and read a few ideas. But it certainly isn't the beginning and the end.
Hi Chucky --- Yeah, I liked his book. You're talking about the beat the pointspread one right? I thought he had some good points in there about how to come up with a line, reasons to use medians versus averages. You have to apply an extension to the thinking [to your point that if its really good info no one is selling it] but I found that I got reasonable results. Never heard that Miller had his name dragged down -- I'd be interested in what was said.

You're right on the money about GBC. You also have to consider that some are putting out theories w/no real longevity or their own ideas. For instance (talking football here) one author supports not counting fumbles as turnovers. Rather than debate the merit of that I would suggest that you have to be comfortable with that before blindly following it.
Reply With Quote
  #11 (permalink)  
Old 11-08-2005, 07:38 PM
ChuckyTheGoat ChuckyTheGoat is offline
Three Star General
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 12,628
Default RE: Newbie

Hey, Mud:

Re Miller, a few points:

1) That quiz on what defines a "pro" was pretty poor imho. The way the questions were phrased made it confusing.

2) I guess the negative on Miller is the self-monitor on his website. It seems that he would throw out losing streaks, play an inordinate # of favs, etc. By most accounts, he did not show a profit on that site, but had to "represent."

3) I bought some NFL data from him at one point. It had more than a few errors, so the usefulness was limited.

4) Some posters (like reno) have mentioned that the brains of the "Miller" operation were his brother, who has now unfortunately passed on.

Miller struck me a shyster, just like the others.
__________________
"Talk is cheap"

Pearl Jam: "...hearts & thoughts, they fade away..."
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9U4bf5OPTdc
Reply With Quote
  #12 (permalink)  
Old 11-16-2005, 04:54 PM
GottaWinToday GottaWinToday is offline
Sergeant
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 1,446
Default RE:Newbie

Hey, where is WiseGirl..................

She....has not posted in HER thread for one month......

Chucky, You are "right on" with your opinion of Miller....Had the same experience....a shister I think....


GottaWintoday.....
Reply With Quote
  #13 (permalink)  
Old 12-14-2005, 03:45 PM
ovrund ovrund is offline
Lieutenant
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 1,895
Default RE: Newbie

try professionalgambler.com (J.R. Miller)....great stuff for beginner (and long-time player)...as with earlier posts, a lot of the stuff is garbage, but there is more good than bad, and it is free on the net...
Reply With Quote
  #14 (permalink)  
Old 12-25-2005, 03:53 AM
Rodolfo Rodolfo is offline
Private 1st Class
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 80
Default RE: Newbie

JR had a brutal stretch a few years back. He was -120 units (risking 1 per play) over a 3-4 month period. Every now and then he goes on a nice winning streak and, more rarely, has a good season, but he is way negative over the last several years and isn't exactly forthcoming about that. He is very willing to throw up charts from some random successful season, however.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:05 PM.

Please be advised that if you are wagering over the internet, this is illegal in many jurisdictions. A wagering site may be operating legally at their location but it may still be illegal for you to wager from your location. We suggest you check on the legal situation from any jurisdiction in which you may wager.
 

Search Engine Optimization by vBSEO 3.0.0 RC6