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Handicapping "Think Tank" technical handicapping and statistics

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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 05-01-2003, 07:39 PM
littleogre littleogre is offline
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Default would any of these mlb systems show a profit long term?

They all involve beting the second game of a double header.

1 bet on the team that lost game 1.

2 bet on the team that lost game 1 but they must be a home team

3 bet on the team that won game 1
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Old 05-01-2003, 08:44 PM
count zero count zero is offline
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: marin county california
Posts: 4,340

It's not inconceivable that one of these might show a historical profit, but only because of the small sample size, i.e., there aren't enough doubleheaders to get a meaningful number of trials. Regardless, there's certainly no plausible rationale behind any of these systems IMHO.
I want to die peacefully in my sleep, like my grandfather. Not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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Old 05-02-2003, 12:21 AM
thechin thechin is offline
Join Date: Aug 2000
Posts: 261

i had heard from some old timers that the reasoning is 2fold:

team that won gm1, is more likely to rest some players under the right conditions

and the team, preferably home, that lost game is more motivated -- likewise the team that won, has a bit of an emotional letdown

not sure they statistically valid, but those were two reasons i had heard of in the past
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Old 05-02-2003, 01:15 AM
The Actuary The Actuary is offline
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I like betting over if the first was under and that holds for back to back games in the NHL and NBA too.
In 1998 the Department of Justice brought charges under the Wire Act against 22 American citizens involved in managing foreign-based sites. "You canít hide online," Janet Reno, the attorney-general, warned Internet betting operators, "and you canít hide offshore."
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Old 05-02-2003, 07:33 PM
littleogre littleogre is offline
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Ty to everyone for there help
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Old 05-04-2003, 04:53 PM
GottaWinToday GottaWinToday is offline
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 1,446

Don't know, but I do know you need a few hundred examples to make a REAL AND TRUTHFUL decision on any stat. question.....

I don't know why, when I find out I'll be rich, but I lose at MLB in the long run.............

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Old 05-04-2003, 07:39 PM
littleogre littleogre is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 8,571

I do ok long term but the way i cap games is time consuming and if i could find a simple system to take some of the burden away i would be happy
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Old 05-06-2003, 08:00 PM
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 1,070

Every gambler in the world would love to have that
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Old 10-24-2008, 05:09 AM
sweepy sweepy is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 21
Default Yes you can win long term!!!!

I know what you mean buddy, winning long term is almost impossible. I've been betting 20 years and finally refind a system to win,win,win. However I'm not about to let the world in on it. That said if you want to send me a private message with an e-mail adress or a phone number and I'll be happy to explain it to you. For the record I started this system 3 months ago and I'm up $3400.
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