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Handicapping "Think Tank" technical handicapping and statistics

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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 05-01-2003, 07:39 PM
littleogre littleogre is offline
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Default would any of these mlb systems show a profit long term?

They all involve beting the second game of a double header.


1 bet on the team that lost game 1.



2 bet on the team that lost game 1 but they must be a home team


3 bet on the team that won game 1
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Old 05-01-2003, 08:44 PM
count zero count zero is offline
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It's not inconceivable that one of these might show a historical profit, but only because of the small sample size, i.e., there aren't enough doubleheaders to get a meaningful number of trials. Regardless, there's certainly no plausible rationale behind any of these systems IMHO.
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Old 05-02-2003, 12:21 AM
thechin thechin is offline
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i had heard from some old timers that the reasoning is 2fold:

team that won gm1, is more likely to rest some players under the right conditions

and the team, preferably home, that lost game is more motivated -- likewise the team that won, has a bit of an emotional letdown


not sure they statistically valid, but those were two reasons i had heard of in the past
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Old 05-02-2003, 01:15 AM
The Actuary The Actuary is offline
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I like betting over if the first was under and that holds for back to back games in the NHL and NBA too.
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Old 05-02-2003, 07:33 PM
littleogre littleogre is offline
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Ty to everyone for there help
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Old 05-04-2003, 04:53 PM
GottaWinToday GottaWinToday is offline
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Don't know, but I do know you need a few hundred examples to make a REAL AND TRUTHFUL decision on any stat. question.....

I don't know why, when I find out I'll be rich, but I lose at MLB in the long run.............


GottaWinToday
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Old 05-04-2003, 07:39 PM
littleogre littleogre is offline
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I do ok long term but the way i cap games is time consuming and if i could find a simple system to take some of the burden away i would be happy
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Old 05-06-2003, 08:00 PM
INVESTOR INVESTOR is offline
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Every gambler in the world would love to have that
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Old 10-24-2008, 05:09 AM
sweepy sweepy is offline
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Default Yes you can win long term!!!!

I know what you mean buddy, winning long term is almost impossible. I've been betting 20 years and finally refind a system to win,win,win. However I'm not about to let the world in on it. That said if you want to send me a private message with an e-mail adress or a phone number and I'll be happy to explain it to you. For the record I started this system 3 months ago and I'm up $3400.
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