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Handicapping "Think Tank" technical handicapping and statistics

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Old 03-04-2003, 08:49 AM
BigTuna7 BigTuna7 is offline
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Default How much is 1/2 a point worth in the NBA?

How much is the actual value to buy 1/2 point in the NBA and CBB for a game and half time?
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Old 03-04-2003, 01:53 PM
The Actuary The Actuary is offline
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A point in the NBA is worth between 3.6% and 3.8% on a game line,

dunno about CBB.
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Old 03-04-2003, 07:32 PM
BigTuna7 BigTuna7 is offline
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Thanks TA
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Old 03-04-2003, 09:40 PM
BigTuna7 BigTuna7 is offline
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Would this be correct if a 1/2 point is worth 3.6 to 3.8%? If a line is Bulls +8 -110, Milw -8 -110. Then this is the same as Bulls +9' -121, Mil -9' +101
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Old 03-08-2003, 08:12 PM
Railbird Railbird is offline
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hooks are worth more as the season progresses
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Old 03-10-2003, 03:25 PM
The Actuary The Actuary is offline
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It should be correct,

and bird is correct the later you get in any season the greater the value and vice versa.
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Old 03-10-2003, 05:11 PM
Picksix Picksix is offline
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Are some points worth more or less than others?

For example, it seems like NBA games don't land on 1 very often. It really wouldn't bother me very much if I was laying 1 or 1.5 on an NBA Game, but I would much rather lay 3 than 3.5.

Does anybody have a breakdown of winning margins for NBA and NCAA for the last few years?
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Old 03-10-2003, 06:30 PM
j j is offline
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Picksix,

Rob Gillespie recently did a column on NBA key numbers. There may be cappers here who will dispute some of his claims, but it does appear he's working from data.

Are there key numbers in the NBA?
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Old 03-10-2003, 06:52 PM
Picksix Picksix is offline
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Thanks a lot j, really appreciate it.

His numbers are very similar to what I had.

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Old 03-18-2003, 06:01 AM
 
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One NBA season is not enough data to provide meaningful stats on the value of numbers. Guys like Gillespie don't know as much as they think, thank goodness.
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Old 03-18-2003, 11:11 AM
nino brown nino brown is offline
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half points in hoops are pretty valuable IF you are a high percentage picker. i have a player that buys half points maybe 20% of the time and it has saved him well over 1000 bones the last couple of weeks. i welcome the buys though bc it save him dough by pushing and as i see it it is a chance for 100% increase in juice for me when i hold it.
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