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Handicapping "Think Tank" technical handicapping and statistics

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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 09-10-2002, 02:42 AM
2006 2006 is offline
Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 263
Default I need moneyline database/archives for college & pro foots & hoops

I have the last 2 yrs from the db archives. Anybody have or know where I can get moneylines prior to 2000.

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Old 09-10-2002, 03:49 AM
count zero count zero is offline
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: marin county california
Posts: 4,340

I just roll my own. Anyone have a comment on whether this is justifiable or not? I remember seeing a chart of equivalencies somewhere, i.e., for pointspread P, the moneyline should be M. I actually researched the historical correlation and used that. It more or less has to be reasonably accurate, doesn't it? Unless the historical frequencies changed, but how could that happen, they're really just different ways of expressing the same thing, aren't they? Anybody?
I want to die peacefully in my sleep, like my grandfather. Not screaming in terror like his passengers.
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Old 09-10-2002, 06:45 PM
jlpblade jlpblade is offline
Join Date: Jun 2001
Posts: 1,882

I would certainly believe it to be a market concensus or the evil masses would have wacked it
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Old 09-11-2002, 12:27 AM
rabbit rabbit is offline
Join Date: Jan 2001
Posts: 626

Count Zero's approach is reasonable. Of course, there is much less of a consensus for moneylines than there is for pointspreads, which is one of the really beautiful things about the ML. Much more variance, potentially greater value. However, the lack of ML consensus can make a moneyline "archive" somewhat misleading.

I love the moneyline, especially in the NFL. Betting MLs exclusively would result in a highly volatile bankroll, but I've enjoyed using a 50-50 mix in pro foots.
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Old 09-11-2002, 05:03 PM
The Actuary The Actuary is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 20,122

Here's a dated study from Andy Iskoe.

In 1998 the Department of Justice brought charges under the Wire Act against 22 American citizens involved in managing foreign-based sites. "You canít hide online," Janet Reno, the attorney-general, warned Internet betting operators, "and you canít hide offshore."
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