Here's A Good One! "Delayed" Jetlag?

Scott Landau · 08-17-2002, 09:13 PM

I've never posted this anywhere before, but I've been tracking it. Playing against NFLX teams who travelled to Europe, Australia, or Japan, not the following game(although both lost ATS this year), but in both games 2 or 3 after the overseas trip, would have netted bettors a 10-2 ATS record since 1998. Here are the results:

1998 0-4
1999 1-3(Winner lost SU!)
2000 1-3

No plays last year, as no teams flew overseas. Thoughts?

count zero · 08-17-2002, 10:59 PM

Was it 1998 when they began with the overseas games? If not, would want to go all the way back to whenever. I do know most of the followers of the "game under their belt" system have shifted over to only using the Hall Of Fame Game teams for that concept, so we at least know the overseas teams aren't doing all that well in the first game back either. Finally, another point in the theory's favor, the teams that typically are scheduled to travel overseas are the glamour teams, who tend to do poorly ATS in the preseason anyway. Will never be many trials, but the rationale is impeccable. Nice find.

KingOfTheSquares · 08-18-2002, 12:25 AM

...let me second this. Working with the military 10 or so years ago we had several war games set up for one week "out there and back again" events. Whenever we did that the play was exceptionally bad so we had a number of scripted plays so that we don't look like a bunch of goofballs to the locals (various non-US Ministry of Defense folks like the Japanese, Austrailian, NATO, etc). Bottom line was/is: when you are 7-12 hours out of phase with your normal sleep/wake patterns, you do some very, very stupid things. 3 hours across the US doesn't work, however as we did that too.

The Actuary · 08-18-2002, 03:43 PM

One of the best bet againsts in horse racing the last decade is to bet against any routers whose last start was in the United Arab Emirates or Dubai, no big deal at first glance. But should consider that since the creation of the million dollar gold cup there many top american stakes horses have performed very well there only to return to the states at absurdly short prices and get trounced.