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On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood
Keeping everything in one thread for the tournament like past years. I pretty much bet this tournament exclusively & ignore the men's game other than a play here or there. The wagering options are not what they once were so I doubt I'll get 800+ wagers down & kill them like I did a few years ago. Either way it will be another profitable tournament! Anyhow...........
Texas -5 2nd H
u72.5 Lehigh-Auburn 2nd H
VCU +12.5 -107
VCU +6.5 1st H
VCU +3.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105
Charlotte +8 -105
o125 Charlotte-Notre Dame -105
Charlotte +4.5 1st H
Charlotte +2 +100 1st 10 mins
Sacred Heart +23
u132 Sacred Heart-Ohio State
Sacred Heart +2300
Sacred Heart +12.5
Sacred Heart +7 1st 10mins 1st H
Florida State -15.5
o144 North Carolina A&T-Florida State
Florida State -8.5 1st H -115
Florida State -5 1st 10mins 1st H
Sacred Heart +5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115
They took OSU's big punches & hung around after starting out well. If they do end up losing by 20+, it will be from wearing down in the 2nd part of the 2nd H. I think they can keep this within 15 easily for the 1st 10 mins.
I am not completely giving up on the outright but they will have to stay within 5-10 at the halfway point to really have a strong chance.
No plays on the other 2nd halves.
Vanderbilt -18.5 -105
o137 Western Carolina-Vanderbilt -105
Vanderbilt -10 1st H
o64 Western Carolina-Vanderbilt 1st H
Vanderbilt -5.5 1st 10mins 1st H -115
o31.5 Western Carolina-Vanderbilt 1st 10mins 1st H
California -12.5 -105
o122 Fresno State-California -105
California -6.5 1st H
California -3.5 1st 10mins 1st H
Depaul -3.5 -105
Depaul -2 1st H -105
Depaul -1 1st 10mins 1st H -115
Montana +12.5 -105
o127 Montana-Pittsburgh -105
Montana +7 1st H
o58.5 Montana-Pittsburgh 1st H
Montana +3.5 1st 10mins 1st H
Marist +125 (wrong team favored, should be laying 6)
Montana +7.5 2nd H
Montana +350 2nd H
Montana +4 1st 10mins 2nd H -115
I see this as a good time to take a stand on a good opportunity. Over the years one of the biggest sucker bets in basketball is betting on a big favorite in the 2nd H at a # that lets you win without them having to cover the full game #.
This is the case as at -7.5, Pittsburgh is asked to win by 9 when the spread is 3.5 points higher. I have seen many get taken in by it. I've made nice bank over the years jumping on the opposite side here. It is not a lock by any means but I have won much more than I have lost.
Plus the fact that Montana is not the least bit intimidated by Pitt, have not played their best, & still only down 1. They were very live to me going into the game & still are as I expect them to win outright.
Nothing on the other 2nd H's.
Kansas State -9.5 -105
o112 Drexel-Kansas State -105
Kansas State -500
Kansas State -5.5 1st H
Kansas State -3.5 1st 10mins 1st H
UC Santa Barbara +23
UC Santa Barbara +12.5 1st H
UC Santa Barbara +6.5 1at 10mins 1st H
o129 Gonzaga-Xavier -105
Gonzaga +2.5 1st H -105
o60 Gonzaga-Xavier 1st H
I apologize about Montana, I did not see an almost 30-3 type run coming on. As far as Kansas State goes, laying -500 might sound risky but in this case it is not. Drexel has played nobody & will get exposed for that by a battle tested Big 12 team in Kansas State. The Big 12 is arguably the toughest conference from top to bottom in terms of the tough games to be had especially on the road. They have more talent across all 5 positions than Drexel is used to seeing. This should be a wire to wire win for the Wildcats. If this game is even remotely close at HT, I will probably go heavy on Kansas State in the 2nd H.
Kansas State -240 2nd H
Gonzaga +160 2nd H
Shady line on Xavier as the 5 point favorite just has to win by 1 to push & 2 to cover. Besides that, I think Gonzaga is the better team & is playing much closer to home. They are playing at their tempo & keeping the Musketeers in check. I think they pull away & win by 10-12.
I am looking to go heavy on Marist in the 2nd H. They are not nearly playing as good as they could & are still up by 5 as I type this. Virginia already came into the game with depth issues due to their Senior PG being suspended. Now they are dealing with foul troubles as well.
While they have the size advantage over Marist at most spots, they do not have the bodies to take advantage. Marist will win this game by double digits unless they totally tank. They should have been laying at least 6 as I said prior.
Marist +155 2nd H
Yet another shady line as the small favorite in Virginia does not even have to win to cover. Those types of lines usually do not pan out for the favorite. I will pass on the +3 & just take the ML as I think they win by double digits as I just mentioned.
UC Santa Barbara +7 2nd H -105
UC Santa Barbara +350 2nd H
Strict principal wagers here for the most part. UC Santa Barbara could not have played any worse in the 1st H shooting an abysmal 19.4%. The books are making the 22 point dog +35 for the game with this #.
Stanford tends to coast after getting big leads. They have proven their point as UCSB is not winning this game. They will take it easy in the 2nd H & be comfortable with a 18-20 point win here. So of course I am loving the +350.
o106 Utah-Villanova -105
Villanova +1.5 1st H
Villanova +.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105
Middle Tennessee State +5.5 -105 (should be laying points)
Middle Tennessee State +210
Middle Tennessee State +2.5 1st H
Middle Tennessee State +1.5 1st 10mins 1st H
Vermont +47.5 -105
Vermont +27.5 1st H
o134 Vermont-Connecticut -105
Vermont +14.5 1st 10mins 1st H
Evansville +15.5 1st H
I THOUGHT I WAS THE ONLY ONE THAT DOES LADY HOOPS.
GOOD LUCK MY FRIEND.I ONLY DO A PLAY OR SO A DAY AND HIT
IT KINDA HARD.VIRGINIA -4.5 YESTERDAY WAS CASH.LOOKIN AT
MARYLAND BUT DUNNO YET.......GL2DAY
IF IT FLIES,FLOATS OR FUCKS
YOUR BETTER OFF RENTING IT.
Florida -3.5 +102
Florida -2 1st H
Florida -1 1st 10mins 1st H
Austin Peay +31.5
Austin Peay +17 1st H
Austin Peay +9.5 1st 10mins 1st H
Minnesota +7.5 -105
Minnesota +3.5 1st H
Minnesota +2 1st 10mins 1st H -115
I love women's hoops!
Wisconsin Green Bay +7 +100
o109 Wisconsin Green Bay-LSU -105
Wisconsin Green Bay +270
Wisconsin Green Bay +3.5 1st H -105
Wisconsin Green Bay +2 1st 10mins 1st H
o122 Liberty-Louisville -105
Liberty +12 1st H
Liberty +6.5 1st 10mins 1st H
East Tennessee State +21 -105
u132.5 East Tennessee State-Iowa State -105
East Tennessee State +2250
East Tennessee State +11.5 1st H
East Tennessee State +6.5 1st 10mins 1st H
Oklahoma -31 -108
o135 Prairie View-Oklahoma
Oklahoma -17 1st H
Oklahoma -9 1st 10mins 1st H
South Dakota State -240
East Tennessee State +7.5 2nd H
East Tennessee State +3.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115
East Tennessee State +360 2nd H
TCU -2.5 2nd H
TCU -1 1st 10mins 2nd H -115
Both teams being blown out due to turnovers & shooting a low percentage. I think both teams make a game of it in the 2nd H, especially TCU who will not lose by more than 25 in this game. I think it will end within 15-18 points when all is said & done.
Wisconsin Green Bay +2.5 2nd H
Wisconsin Green Bay +145 2nd H
Wisconsin Green Bay +1.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115
LSU is shooting 50% in the 1st H mainly due to Allison Hightower who has 20 of their 35 points on 6-10 shooting. As is usual with LSU, they are lacking a second scorer. This team is built on their defense which is key as they always go through some sort of scoring drought during a game.
Wisconsin Green Bay can still win this game as they are the better shooting team across the board especially from behing the arc as practically the whole team has that range. I think they will take advantage of LSU's lack of scoring & make their way back into this game. If they don't win outright which I think they can, they should be pretty set to cover the game especially at this ridiculous 2nd H # which makes it +12.5 for the game.
Oklahoma -14 2nd H
Oklahoma -7.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -120
They are clearly playig down to their competition which is what I was afraid of. Sometimes t hey have a tendency to do this more than any other team in the country. They are not taking advantahe of their superior talent from 1-5. Prairie View did have a good non conference schedule but that is not reason for them to be competitive against Oklahoma here. The complete superiority should show itself in the 2nd H where they should cover the 2nd H # easily & cover the game # as well.
I usually do not like these situations as this # makes the game # -24 when it was -31 before tip. However this game is a complete mismatch & I can't ignore that in this case.
Tennessee -8.5 1st H
Tennessee -4.5 1st 10mins 1st H
Georgia Tech +6.5 -104 (Fucking comical!)
Georgia Tech +270
Georgia Tech +3.5 1st H -115
Georgia Tech +2 1st 10mins 1st H
Baylor -23 -105
o125.5 Texas San Antonio-Baylor
Baylor -13 1st H
Baylor -7 1st 10mins 1st H
The Georgia Tech line is fucking comical. The ONLY reason Iowa is laying points is because of the location. Georgia Tech even playing in Iowa should be laying a minimum of 5 here. They come from the better conference, played a superior schedule (don't care what the RPI says) & have better quality wins.
This is the same team that beat North Carolina, played competitively against top conference foes in Duke, & Maryland, along with playing very well against Texas. They also whipped up on one of the Big 10 powers in Michigan State, a team Iowa could not handle. They are also one of the few teams who played Connecticut tough all year & at Stoors no less.
They have superior talent from 1-5 & will beat Iowa by double digits. If they do not win this game outright, I would be shocked. I'm so close to just adding even more on this one as it is close to a GOTY type for me.
The other games are just mismatches through & through. If the games are competitive, it will be up to HT at most. If the game is remotely close at HT, you can probably jump on at a reasonable # in the 2nd H & cover that & the game as well.
Georgia Tech +5 2nd H
Georgia Tech +2.5 1st 10mins 2nd H +100
Georgia Tech +240 2nd H
Sucker line here imo as 6.5 point favorite just has to win by 1 to cover. Plus I still think Georgia Tech extends this lead & wins by double digits. My only concern is the hometown foul advantage for Iowa as they have a +5 advantage in terms of PF's.
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