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Old 02-19-2009, 10:27 AM
mark mark is offline
Join Date: Aug 2000
Posts: 3,087
Default thursday college hoops

Best Bets (22-25)(-16.50)
Strong Plays (32-25)(+9.00)
Regular Plays (52-48)(-0.80)

Overall (106--98)(-8.30)

I just cannot get it going. Last night I went 3-3 dropping another 0.60 units. I split my best bets, strong plays and regular plays. I know losing a half unit is no big deal, but I think it is when I really liked my picks last night. I cannot believe Boise St lost outright last night.

I really like my two best bets again tonight and fully expect to win them both, but that does not mean that will happen.

Montana St -3 vs Idaho State (best bet)…………..Not super familiar with these teams, but I know that Montana St is definitely the better team and they are at home. They are 8-3 at home while Idaho is a pathetic 1-13 on the road. This game has the same feel as my Boise St play last night. This time it is going to be a winner. I realize that Idaho is better than their record or this line would be much higher, but I really think home court makes a gigantic difference in this game. My money is on Montana St to win by double digits.

Washington +8 vs UCLA (best bet)……………..There is not eight points difference between these two teams. I know I am big on home court in college hoops, especially when the visiting teams sucks like Idaho’s 1-3 road record as mentioned above. That is not the case with Washington. They are a very respectable 5-5 on the road. Washington already beat this team once, so if nothing else they have some confidence going tonight for them. Washington playing better than UCLA is right now as well. I know UCLA is at home and they are tough to beat at home, but I am not needing or asking them to lose the game, just not cover. I just don’t see Washington losing this game by double digits. With that being said and my bad luck lately, watch UCLA win by nine points. I am going to go as far as to say if UCLA wins by exactly nine points, I am taking a week off from this crap. What are the odds?

Arkansas Little Rock -2 vs W Kentucky (strong play)……………Another strong home team laying only a couple of points. Now I will admit that W Kentucky is not a horrible road teams like the teams I went against in my best bets, but they are only 6-8 playing a team that is 9-3 at home. Arkansas also owns the better overall record, but not my much. Home court the difference maker in this one as well. This one scares me a little more as W Kentucky usually plays very well vs Ark-rock.

St Bonny +3 vs George Wasington (strong play)………….Taking a road team finally and a road favorite to boot. I am just not impressed with GW this year at all. They are only 5-5 at home which is horrible. St Bonny on the other hand seems to play pretty decent on the road by looking at their 7-4 record. There are not a ton of teams in college basketball that are three games above 500 on the road. I just feel they are the better team and will win outright a very close game. Going with a strong gut feeling in this one.

Michigan -3.5vs Minnesota (regular play)…………Time and time again home court has been huge in this conference, yet I keep taking the road teams. Now I am jumping on board…just hope it is not too late.

Troy -2.5 vs Florida International (regular play)………………Might be a suckers bet, but I don’t care. Troy is just the better team. FIU not bad at home, but not great either and Troy has shown it can win on the road. Only a small one unit play for me. Just call me a sucker.

St Johns +12 vs Duke (regular play)…………….The whole world seems to be one Duke tonight and rightfully so. Duke is due to kill somebody and St Johns just plain sucks. Looks way too easy to me. I am going to go the other way and take a team who appears to have not chance to even stay in this game.

Indiana +10 vs Wisconsin (regular play)……………Sticking with that Big Ten home team thing again. Wisky getting a lot of press and playing better and needs to keep winning to make the big dance. Indiana another horrible team like St Johns who has no business being in this game. I think Wisky plays this game “not to lose” instead of trying to win and lets Indy hang around.

Denver -6 vs La Lafayette (regular play)……………Just playing my decent home team vs horrible road team theory again. Denver a respectable 10-2 at home while La Laff is a pathetic 1-11 on the road. Almost looks too easy, so that scares me, so only one unit on this one.

Oregon St +4 vs Stanford (regular play)…………..Nothing special about either team here, so I have to take the home team and the points thinking it will be enough to get them at least the cover if not the outright win.

I must be out of my mind. I am on my worst losing streak of the year and I went crazy and played a bunch of games, although most of them are small one unit plays. I don’t care. I am off work today and in the mood to bet. I know that is stupid and I am sure when I wake up Friday morning and look in my sportsbook account I will see yet more money missing. Oh well.

Good Luck Everybody!!
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