A PICK FOR TONIGHT

[grapefruit]

I'VE BEEN FOCUSING STRICTLY ON THE JAYS AND I HAVE A GOOD FEEL FOR THEM AGAIN THIS YEAR

I DON'T HAVE TOO MUCH TIME TO CAP BUT I USUALLY WATCH THE GAMES AND KEEP UP WITH OTHER TEAMS IN THE LEAGUE

TONIGHT I LIKE THE OVER 5.5 +104 IN THE FIRST 5 INNINGS

LILLY HAS BEEN HORRENDOUS IN EVERY START BUT HIS FIRST, HIS MECHANICS ARE OFF AND HE JUST HASN'T BEEN ANYTHING CLOSE TO GOOD....HE'S BEEN PITCHING IN SIMULATED GAMES AND BOTH HE AND THE PITCHING COACHES SAY HE DOESN'T LOOK GOOD BUT THEY'RE GOING TO GIVE HIM HIS INNINGS TO WORK IT OUT....HE HASN'T MADE IT OUT OF THE 2ND INNING IN HIS LAST 2 OR 3 GAMES

VARGAS FOR WASHINGTON IS PITCHING ON 2 DAYS REST AND EVEN ON REGULAR REST HE'S NOT THE GREATEST PITCHER WITH A LIFETIME ERA OF ABOUT 5

I EXPECT A LOT OF SCORING EARLY AND OFTEN WITH BOTH PITCHERS NOT MAKING IT PAST 4 INNINGS

ALSO THE JAYS USUALLY GO OVER AT HOME BECAUSE THEIR OVERALL ERA IS MUCH HIGHER AT THE ROGERS CENTRE THAN ON THE ROAD AND THEY USUALLY PUT UP SOME RUNS AT HOME AS WELL

THE ONLY REASON I WOULDN'T PLAY THIS GAME IS BECAUSE OF INJURIES LIKE KOSKIE AND VIDRO BUT I DON'T THINK THEY WILL NEED THOSE BATS TONIGHT....RIOS IS HITTING EVERYTHING AND WELLS SEEMS TO HAVE GOTTEN HIS STROKE BACK FOR THE JAYS, AND VIDRO'S REPLACEMENT IS HITTING .320 SINCE REPLACING HIM A FEW WEEKS AGO

NO PLAY ON THE OVER FOR THE GAME THOUGH BECUASE BOTH TEAMS HAVE WELL RESTED AND VERY GOOD BULLPENS THAT WILL COME INTO THIS GAME EARLY