Jake's Picks - April 7th

[Jake Thompson]

Overall: 8-10 -1.35 Units
Rare 2 Unit Plays: 1-0 +2.12 Units

Bad day yesterday. Hoping to turn it around today.

AL Capped Lines:

KC Pick, U 9.5 -108
White Sox -135, U 9 -120
Oakland Pick, O9.5 -110
Angels -140, O9.5 -113

NL Capped Lines:

Cincy Pick, O 10 -113
Philly -145, U9.5 -120
Florida -113, U8 -120
San Diego -205, U9 -110
LA Pick, U8.5 -113

<u>Bets:</u>

Kansas City +133
Pitchers: Greinke/Johnson

Chicago WS -116
Pitchers: Contreras/Lee

Oakland +112
Pitchers: Haren/Bedard

San Diego -1.5 +127
Pitchers: Peavy/Redman

(Laying off over until I see how SD hits outside Coors Field)

LA Dodgers +113
Pitchers: Weaver/Tomko

Jake's Quick Game Thoughts:

Kansas City/Detroit:

Greinke is a better pitcher than Johnson. Detroit has a hitting edge, but Greinke has shown he can shut them down (sans Ordonez). Johnson is a candidate to get hit hard.

White Sox/Indians:

Indians are not hitting at all lately and Contreras has pitched very well against them in the past. With them not hitting, he should have an excellent outing. Lee is a good pitcher but the Sox are hitting better and have the better pitcher.

Oakland/Baltimore:

Haren struggled his last two starts of spring but he is a very good pitcher. Bedard walks a ton of guys and Oakland is built on waiting for the right pitch. Bedard should hit double digit walks if he goes 6 innings. I got Cabrera getting rocked for a +134 win yesterday, and Bedard is just as likely to leave early.

San Diego/Pittsburgh:

Only played the -1.5 because Pitt may not get on base through 6. Peavy is pitching that good and Pitt is hitting that bad. Redman is not a great pitcher but the field in SD will treat him okay. Still, SD is good enough to put up a few runs on him, and Peavy should dominate.

LA/SF:

LA is the better hitting team and I have Weaver ranked a little bit higher than Tomko. This game could honestly go either way so the dog is the play.