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I'm on a heater. Three winning weeks of the last four.
The Ft. Worth, Tex. Colonial is this week, with only Lefty showing up. Four of the top five guys sitting out this one. Phil has won once here with a 2nd place also. He will be the fav. of course, but judging from last year, I doubt he'll take it again.
This is a weird par 70 course. It looks easy and plays tough. Lots and lots of birdies, and lots and lots of bogeys. 50% pars is not uncommon. Last year's winner, Flesch, had 17 birds and 6 bogeys, and that's exactly what's needed to win this deal. Maximixe the birds and minimize the boges. 2nd place Campbell, was all over the map with 2 doubles, 10 bogeys, 20 birdies and 2 eagles. I'm up, I'm down, whoops, I'm up again. Phil had 16 bogeys and 15 birdies. Gamez steadied the course, T5 with only 6 bogeys and 12 birds. He may be worth a M/U play here. In fact, I'll take him if he's listed in a m/u.
Common sense tells me to take Flesch or Gamez or anyone who makes few mistakes, but I'm going to bet on a pure action player who tries to win with every shot. I'm betting the 2 local Texas boys can make it happen. Providing of course, they get fewer bogeys and use their local knowledge on the greens.
Justin Leonard to win is my pick.
Chad Campbell an EW place bet.
I don't know what their odds are yet, but I'm getting them anyway. Shopping around of course.
Hole number 4---252 yard par 3--- I'm hitting driver. GL to our golf posse.
Going to stab around at some outrights.
Verplank ew- loved the way he played last week. My only problem with him is that he doesn't win.
Garcia- has played well and likes the course, doesn't need to putt great to win on these small greens, his shotmaking is huge.
DiMarco figures well here I think. He can bunt it around and play his kind of shots into the greens. The claw freaks me out but will take it in this spot.
Did anybody know that Todd Hamilton was such a bad putter?? He really struggled last week close to the hole.
Irish Open playing lunch money on Trevor Immelman- my lunch money plays suck and am starving over here- need a little change.
tommyjay- R.W. Eaks fired a 66 in the Blue Angel seniors last round and he did have it way under Sunday. I am playing another lunch money play on him in the Brunos.
Buzz, I dont go to games. I buy all the Directv packages and watch them from the comfort of my own home! I dont like listening to all the fans nonsense at games! I pay for blonde women to come over and have sex with my hispanic hottie maid, and sometimes I get involved to make it a threesome! I like to lay in my pool during the day sipping on drinks that have umbrellas!
I'm on Eaks too, no winning without me! 20 to win.
Leonard to win 41-1
Leonard over Ames -112
Campbell over T. Clark -126
McCarron over Sutherland -105 2 Sacto boys battle it out.
All Pinny, bet Tues night. GL
Won 3 match bets on Verplank last week and lost on Garcia/Donald but still a good week.
Colonial is always one of the fairest tests and I'll be looking for a bit of value this week. My 2 for the outrights are:
K Perry @ 28/1 - Totesport, Golfinggods
D Toms @ 35/1 Betfair (33.25/1 after max commission)
Let me know if there are better prices available.
Match Bets - Toms over Love, Toms over Weir, Perry over Weir
DiMarco should go well again as should Verplank but they don't win so I'll take a couple of proven "WINNERS" when they are thereabouts over them and Mickleson who'll have to have better course management than he has been showing recently.
THE BANK OF AMERICA COLONIAL (1-Pay) $100 WIN
Series Name Sell Buy
KENNY PERRY 42 46 +117
TED PURDY 10 13 +669
ROD PAMPLING 5 6 +1566
D.J. TRAHAN 5 6 +1566
KIRK TRIPLETT 4 5 +1900
BILLY MAYFAIR 4 5 +1900
DAVID TOMS 2 3 +3233
KJ CHOI 1 2 +4900
STEPHEN LEANEY 1 2 +4900
TIM CLARK 1 2 +4900
JUSTIN LEONARD 1 2 +4900
BRANDT JOBE 1 2 +4900
JOE DURANT 1 2 +4900
STEVE STRICKER 1 2 +4900
JIM FURYK 1 2 +4900
PATRICK SHEEHAN 1 2 +4900
RORY SABBATINI 0 2 +4900
DAVIS LOVE III 0 1 +9900
SCOTT VERPLANK 0 1 +9900
JOE OGILVIE 0 1 +9900
STEVE FLESCH 0 1 +9900
ZACH JOHNSON 0 1 +9900
STEWART CINK 0 1 +9900
MIKE WEIR 0 1 +9900
SHIGEKI MARUYAMA 0 1 +9900
SERGIO GARCIA 0 1 +9900
KEVIN NA 0 1 +9900
TOM LEHMAN 0 1 +9900
STEPHEN AMES 0 1 +9900
CHAD CAMPBELL 0 1 +9900
CHRIS DIMARCO 0 1 +9900
PHIL MICKELSON 0 1 +9900
JONATHAN BYRD 0 1 +9900
STUART APPLEBY 0 1 +9900
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