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Old 09-07-2003, 10:43 AM
rpmcmurphy rpmcmurphy is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 25
Default Bell Canadien,,,4th RD Plays

Here's a couple 4th round plays for tomorrow. Before I go any further, (this applies to all golf or sports betters) everyone in this forum must0 have pinnacle as a wagering option. Here's why (and for those of you who understand continue to the plays at the bottom of the page). They are the only book I know that uses a .10 cent golf line. I love that place. Here's how it breaks down. I have a bookmaker friend I've known for years and he tells me he wants all of my business. I say, " fine, but what do I get in return for losing all my money to you." He says, I'll give you 40% back of whatever you lose for the year. Sounds like a great deal for me. But I say, "let me have a .10 cent golf line and I'll never call another place." He says, "sure," with a big grin on his face, like he got over on me. But here's how the math plays out. Lets say I make 200 bets a year for $1000 each. I win 100 and lose 100. So, for the year (based on every match-up being -.10 on each side100 *1100=110000 - 100000 in winning bets= -10000) So, I'd be stuck 10000 for the year, but I get my 40% rebate. Bottom line, the bookie friend clears $6000 for a year of my betting. But if I get to lay -.05, making the same amount of bets while losing 100 and winning 100 the bookmaker only clears $5000 for the year, that's only an example based on losing. I don't know about you, but I try to win. That's the goal! Who in the hell likes to put there bookmakers kids through college, NOT ME!!! Lets take a look at the other side. I make 200 bets, at the traditional .20 cent line, win 110 and lose 90. I'd win 110000 and lose 99000=12000 Profit. At .05 I win 110000 and lose 94500= 15500 profit. So, as you can see, laying .05 pays you both for winning and losing. The next time you post up somewhere, tell the marketing guy to keep the bouns, (shoot for .05) you'd rather lay .05 or .07 and get a free pay-out once a month. Thanks for listening, I hope someone reads this and benefits.

The Plays:

Tanaka ov Pernice JR 1 bet
Tway ov faxon .5 bet
estes ov riley 1 bet
sluman ov lehman .5 bet
lonard ov verplank 1.5 bet

Good luck

RPM

I played these at Cascade, by the way.
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