I agree that if a horse were being overbet it should be avoided and if it were being under bet it should be hit more. Now, I guess, my next conclusion would be that those that can do that best would be winners in the long run. Anyone could get lucky here and there and have a winning selection and if he/she chose only to tout 100-1 horses, eventually they would look like a genious. But, a real skilled player is one who wins over time, not just on a day or a pick or a race. So, if a contest were long enough, I think it would weed out good handicappers from those that aren't good.
please correct me if I'm wrong, but don't good books (ie good handicappers) win over time? and don't bad ones fold due to lack of funds (ie losing)?
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