Hi Greedo,
Well we're almost there.
I'm going to reserve opinion till posts are drawn, but I have a long history of taking stands vs the derby winner the rest of their careers and I do not think WE will be the exception.
But the real reason for my post is, the speed vs speed non duel reference really was made in regards to cheaper races, generally claiming sprints, where the bad horse simply cannot overcome a slew of potential problems at the gate. In the higher profile stakes, as you know from my write ups here, I consider jockey intent to be crucial. I guess in other words the statistical support for that theory was really only tested in the cheap races. I do not know if the same stats hold up for the big horses.
TA
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