[Greedo]

If you look at it, really the only early speed here is War Emblem, E Dubai, and Medaglia D'oro. I'm not including Came Home as he looks to be rating now, off that PAC CLASS victory.

So if you throwout E Dubai, as I do. I think he has no shot after training up to this thing off what 100+ days, and he was sick during that time too, well if we throw him out, then that just leaves the race favorite to contest the pace. So the question is, will Bailey do that? I don't know. If WE and MO are burning away up front, they'll both be done for, so might Bailey try and sit off him ala Came Home. And if this is what happens, could we be looking at the Derby all over again.

I think TA was the one who said that there is good money to be made in betting horses that everybody thinks are going to get into a speed duel but in fact said duel never materializes.

I don't know if this is what will happen, but I do think it's a good posibility.