Guys, I think you're both right.
I usually do what Buckeye has suggested because I'm too lazy to set what I think would be the right line and I get too pissed when I'm wrong. I know taking my profit by betting both lines is not the right play but for me it has worked. There is no risk involved, which eliminates the possible bad streak that could hurt your bankroll and it is also a lot less stressful.
I think this will support TA point:
Buckeye, use your last example,
By wagering 5200 to win 5720 (+110)and the 5250 to win 5000(-105). You would either win 470 or lose 200.
Say you do this 100 times and you win 50 and you lose 50. You would win 470*50=23,500....you would also lose 200*50=10000...so over all you would win ((13,500))
Now to use TA's way. You just wager 5200 to win 5720 on all 100 times. you would lose 50*5200 =(-260000)...you would also win 50*5720=286,000 so you would win((26,000)) or almost twice as much as the other way.
I think this clearly supports TA. However, you must be confident in you own ability to set the right line, using a coin flip it is very easy, but most scalps I run into, I am not informed enough to make a stand so I just take the risk free money and most importantly, I don't sweat my action!!!  |