I hope you see (I'm sure you do) that the player has two outs that are completely and totally sound (like state lotteries or something like that) that the player can make $250 of ev by putting everything on the scalp, which is way more than the straight bet ev.
What you and I both know is, that offshore sports scalping is does not allow one that sort of availability or security of bankroll. A good scalper has at a bare minimum 20 outs, thus it is hard for him to get 1/20th of his BR on any side unless he is a credit player. And 1/20th of a bankroll is very close to an ok size for a simple straight bet on the "good" side.
(how the heck did into the role of scalper's advocate, here, anyway?) |