View Single Post
  #14 (permalink)  
Old 09-27-2002, 10:30 PM
The Actuary The Actuary is offline
Five Star General
 
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 20,224
Default

Superbook, do not get intimidated!!!
The process that's been delineated throughout these threads is not as complicated as it seems.
It's only a matter of discounting what's going to happen into a current price.
This is not one bit different then making any normal bet.
In fact SB, I found the pick the price out of the air a difficult task, I've been playing them for years much more similar to the interview that Mach did, anticipating what could happen next and assigning a value to each outcome. If the MM, doesn't move the price commensurate with what I thought it should be based on the last play or series of plays, I'm in. I have a feeling I'm a little more cautious then most as I've watched more then my share of games never making a trade, but if you're watching the game and following along with the interactive more times then not you will recognize an imbalance.

Very interesting reading all these interactive threads, thanks to Mach and all the other contributors.

TA









__________________
In 1998 the Department of Justice brought charges under the Wire Act against 22 American citizens involved in managing foreign-based sites. "You can’t hide online," Janet Reno, the attorney-general, warned Internet betting operators, "and you can’t hide offshore."
Reply With Quote