Oakley, I agree with almost everything you said. The one thing I'm not sure about is Stl. scoring the touchdown and being up by 1.
If they scored with 4 minutes left instead of 8, I would agree with you 100%. With 8 minutes left, it seems like too much time. T.B. would be more aggresive than normal which could put the ball back in the Rams hands with 5 or 6 minutes to go. I don't know if the Rams would be able to go into clock killing mode with that much time left.
(I deleted (edited) some of my reasoning because I was using the wrong score.) (Thanks Oakley)
Again, I'll agree with Oakley on the 75 for T.B. up 3.
On the T.B. down 1, I would go a little lower rather than a little higher, maybe 68 or 70. Now if T.B. throws 2 incomplete passes right off the bat, and have a 3rd and 10 from their own 18 with 7:37 left, then I would make T.B. 55.
Question: Do the market makers set the odds strictly on the sitution in the game, or are they always trying to keep balanced action? (factoring in which side has more action)
I would think it's a little of both and also depends on who is setting the Markets. (A vet. or a rookie) or (Gambler or non- Gambler)
I have a couple other comments about the recent interactives but I'm not sure I should say them publicly. I'll wait for the PM's to come back.
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