[ChuckyTheGoat]

Anybody have solid halftime betting approaches they care to share in here?

I think most of us have theories/gut feels about how games will play out in the 2nd half. Wondering if we can bounce some ideas off each other. I'll offer up two theories that I've done on. Wondering if others would concur that these will be long-run winners:

1) The big dog getting blown out at halftime.
...Look at the ArkSt-VaTech gm. 56-0 at half. Half line is VaTech(-17). I really think this comes down to motivation. Does the fav really have an impetus to win by 73+? I tend to say no. Another gm that comes to mind was Nevada at BYU last yr. Can't recall the exact halftime score, maybe BYU 42-0. I do know that Nevada was +9 2nd half and catching 50+ for the adjusted game line. Even the championship gm in 2001 could be lumped into this category. Was Nebraska really going to get beaten by 40+? I seem to recall some bookies saying that 2nd half line was one of the most difficult to set. Do you base it off the game line? Do you use the 1st half annihilation as a predictor of the 2nd half? JMHO, but adjusted game lines of +40 or more often indicate motivation on the dog to save face.

2) The big fav trailing at halftime.
...Gut instinct would say there's value taking the fav here. Game that sticks out to me is 1999 FlaSt down 14-3 at Clemson. Halftime line: FlaSt(-9). So if the Noles win outright, you win. They owned the ACC and I didn't believe they would go down. This situation may be more of a tease than the first one, because upsets do happen. But we often don't believe it until it goes final.

Anybody have any comments/approaches they could share? Thx and GL.