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Old 08-26-2001, 07:27 PM
Bucky Bucky is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2000
Posts: 1,715
Default point spread analysis

There has been a lot of talk about the value of 3 and 7 in Football and the expected number of times a game would land on these numbers.

But do we really care about all the games? Wouldn't it be more valuable to have it broken down to the number of times a team at home favored by 2,3,4 actually won by 3? or as a visitor etc.

14 should land very few times with all the games considered but how many times does a favorite of 13,14, 0r 15 actually win by 14? Wouldn't it be a considerably higher %?
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