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Old 07-26-2006, 03:49 PM
blogguy blogguy is offline
MW Writer, S.H. Austin
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
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Default Tuesday Strikeouts July 25

This became a double post because things went wacky when I was trying to put it into the thread (site went down for a few moments...or something with my computer). I'll use this spot instead to post daytime stuff for Wednesday:

Harmonic Convergence:
Sabathia over 5.5 -165 vs. Detroit

Another worth considering:
Fossum Over 3.5 -117 vs. LA Angels
(Fossum's median the last 7 games is 5...he's gone 8-6-4-6 his last four starts...his K/6 innings at home is over the threshold...day game in a dome...but, it's still Fossum after all, lol).

I forgot to check the numbers in Colorado. Both Suppan and Cook would show up as Unders I believe with a convergence. I'm less excited about those after last night. And, this park has become so low scoring that I'm afraid one or both could go deep into the game.

Because of the two-run difference, I personally kind of like Fossum more than Sabathia. Sabathia wasn't sharp against Minny in his last start...but that was the second time they had seen him in a week. The numbers I've been using to find cocktails all line up on him though, so I wanted to make everyone aware of that. Fossum's full season K-rate isn't that great, so he's not a convergence guy. A threshold of 3.5 just seems so darned manageable given what he's been doing lately...
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