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Old 07-16-2006, 05:09 PM
blogguy blogguy is offline
MW Writer, S.H. Austin
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
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Dinque's fiddling (at last lines I saw...his may have been different)

Bucholz Over 4.5 -132
Olsen Over 4.5 -129
Reyes Over 4.5 +139
Bush Over 4.5 -128
Minor Over 4.5 -108
Burnett Over 5.5 -122
Fossum Over 2.5 +175 ish (I typed it in wrong first time thru! Dinque wouldn't lay 190 on something I'm guessing)

Fogg Under 2.5 +104
L. Hernandez Under 3.5 +121
Myers Under 4.5 -129
Garcia Under 3.5 -102
Elarton Under 3.5 -141


PROJECTED SHARP PLAYS BASED ON MONEYLINE PRICES OF 150 OR MORE
Penny Under 4.5 -204
Reyes Under 4.5 -166
Peavy Over 7.5 -156
Cain Over 4.5 -164
Wright Under 3.5 -163
Hernandez Under 5.5 -172
Lopez Under 4.5 -204
Sowers Under 3.5 -217
Fossum Under 2.5 -190

Yesterday these did well...let's see if there's a pattern to the moneylines being unable to spike what the pitchers actually do.


BLOGGUY'S EXTREMELY CONSERVATIVE FIDDLING SINCE IT'S MOSTLY A DAYTIME SCHEDULE

Olsen Over 4.5 -129
James Over 4.5 -112
Wasdin Under 2.5 -142

Ballparking it...I'd say I would have had about 50 cent differences in all of those based on the cocktail finder I'm trying to create.

Others that made sense that I'm just kind of watching because it's day action. To me...that means better visibility and fewer strikeouts for the guys who aren't really strikeout guys anyway. Takes a lot to put me on an Over for K's on a Sunday afternoon...less to consider an Under.

Garcia Under 3.5 -102
Lopez Under 4.5 -204 (timidly...but his ERA is 6.80 this year!)
Blanton Under 3.5 -114
Snyder Under 3.5 -144

A temtping huge dog:
Sowers Over 3.5 +197 because the Metrodome has goofy visibility in day games. He hasn't shown much K potential in his 3 starts though. It's tempting because of the dome...not the guy...

Enjoy your Sunday!
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