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Old 07-15-2006, 08:33 PM
colorado colorado is offline
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First I would like to thank Blog for taking all the time he does to push these idea's in front of us. Many I thought were useful, some I didn't but appreciated the effort put into it. One area I never looked at prior to this year that Blog and Stevo brought to my attention was the 5 inning bet. I incorporated a great deal of what I have read in the think tank and started playing the 5 inning bet with great success this year.

First I look for a game in which both pitchers average >.66 strike outs per inning.
If any game qualifies then I look at average runs scored using the average of the median of the last 30 days and last 15 days runs scored. If the sum of both team averages is less than the OU, then I check the park average runs allowed over the past 30 and 15 days.

If the park average is less than the posted OU plus.5, it's a play.

This year since I started this in mid May, it has been averaging about a play a day with an impressive win percent.

Today two games would qualify. For the first 5 innings I bet the UNDER in each game.

Houston @ Florida
Pettitte SO/IP = .76
Johnson SO/IP = .87
Houst average runs scored on road = 2.5
Florida average runs scored at home 3.5
Average runs scored at Florida =6.5

Milwaukee @ Arizona
Capuano SO/IP = .87
Webb SO/IP = .74
Milwaukee average runs scored on road = 4
Arizona average runs scored at home = 2.75
Average runs scored at Arizona = 8.5

Hope this can spark a greater insight into Blogs master plan to make all of us a better bettor and more wealthy in the process. These numbers and idea's are basically a mixture, (cocktail) of what Blog and others have posted so far.
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