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Old 07-14-2006, 02:36 PM
Immanuel Kant Immanuel Kant is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2000
Posts: 2,743
Default Okay...let's try something out here for a week...

I'm not about to argue with anyone who has a "method" that works for them...........I do believe that the more information available, the better a handicapper can decide what is valuable to him/herself........

I think this is a great thread and would like to help....

Allow me to show (in hindsight, I know) my prep notes for a game yesterday and my notes from watching the game...........they don't all work out like this one...lol.........

I'm not saying this is THE way to handicap....I'm saying it's my way.....and maybe some brighter folks in this thread can find something to quantify from it. I play on teams and pitchers I have watched! I watch a lot of baseball!

Prep notes for Tex(Padilla)/Balt(Cabrera)

-Padilla on a decent run
-Tex winning record on the road
-Tex 1st pl in AL West
-check temp in Bal,(hot+ humid++)
-Teixeria ready for big 2nd half?
-Tex dead red hitters
-Cabrera wild, baserunners +++
-O's finished?
-Padilla's splits r vs l big
-O's lineup is r +++
-line value on Tex as a dog
-Tex steam

Game notes

-Tex run in 1st....HBP, BB, SacFLY...thanks Daniel
-End of two....neither guy is going to last at this rate..both having to throw hard...working in heavy weather
-Palmer says Cab will not throw a change...tough to be a 2 pitch pitcher when the curve/slider cannot find the strikezone....neither can the fastball
-End 4.....Tex blowing chances, runners...Mora/Tejada don't care!
-must kill Mazzone to watch this guy pitch
-O's look like a team ready to lose a lot of games
6th inning.....boom!
-O's pen no thanks


As I said they don't all work out this well:

To summerize:

I believe in

-watching pitchers for control, toughness, deep counts, pitch counts
-watching teams/players for attitude, give away AB's

-using stats for righty/lefty splits on pitchers, home/away splits


Anything I can do to help Blog..let me know
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