[blogguy]

Oswalt/Maddux is in a good price range...and the wind isn't blowing out in Wrigley...

Oswalt -142
Maddux +1.5 runs -128

You can get about a 5.5-1 return by taking a flyer on the middle.

With simple math around the $10 range:
13 to win 9 on Oswalt
13 to win 10 on Maddux

Risking about $3.5 (on average) to win $19. You can multiply those out for any totals you wish. Multiply them by 10...and it's $35 to win $190, etc...

Downside...Oswalt is returning from an injury, and may not be in peak form. Maddux comes and goes...and doesn't have overpowering the stats the way he used to.

Wouldn't call this an ideal qualifier...but it is in the right price range...and we do have decent pitchers in what may not be a high scoring environment. Figured I'd pass it along.

There have been some borderline calls the past few days that ended up on 1 run for either the road team or home team in the right kind of ranges (Sunday...Dodgers on the road in Colorado, Beckett at home vs. Millwood in the double header...Monday Detroit at home vs. TB and Kazmir...none of those were great convergences of pitchers and ballparks...but they weren't horrible choices given the ballpark influences in Colorado and Detroit this year...and the potential pitcher's duel potential of Millwood and Beckett).

Just something for you to think about as you look through the options tonight. I know many of you don't think the percentages are there. I'd agree in most cases. For now I'll post things that make some sense based on past history and we'll go from there...