RE:Selling Dean as the Dem. nominee Shares of Edwards at $11 are a steal, IMO.
I just picked up a few more shares this morning at $10.
Here’s an interesting article by Michael Graham, a radio-talk-show host. Laugh at my source if you must, but I think he makes some valid points:
“IOWA LIKES SOUTHERNERS: The Iowa caucuses created the Jimmy Carter candidacy. George W. Bush won there handily and even Pat Robertson of Virginia did surprisingly well in the Hawkeye state. Maybe it's a rural thing, or maybe it's the drawl, who knows?
IOWA LIKES SURPRISES: John Edwards is polling well — in second or third place in some polls — so it wouldn't exactly be a surprise to close observers if he pulled out a win. But to the typical American, who's currently more interested in New England's Tom Brady than John Kerry, an Edwards win would be viewed as a major upset of presumptive nominee Howard Dean.
Just as they did for Carter, Gary Hart, and George McGovern, the Iowa caucuses could launch a relative unknown yet again.
IOWA LIKES TO ARGUE: This isn't a primary, it's a caucus. You get together, you spend a couple of hours talking to your neighbors, you debate, and then you pick sides. Some recent polling showed that half of all those attending the caucuses might possibly change their minds tonight. There could be significant votes up for grabs.
Dean's caucusers are going to be obnoxious granola-crunchers. Dick Gephardt will have thick-armed union members menacing the crowds. Kerry's team will share anecdotes they heard on NPR. But John Edwards is a trial lawyer — he will be represented at many of the caucuses by fellow lawyers.
Trial lawyers, particularly experienced litigators, make their living persuading small groups of civic-minded people dealing with difficult decisions. It's very possible Edwards could start the evening in fourth place and end up in first.”
--------------------------------
Dean is on the way down. His percentage points have to go somewhere.
Clark is picking up some endorcements (Like Michael Moore), but he’s not a very good liar and can’t possibly go the distance.
Edwards and Kerry have the most to gain, and I like the price point of Edwards right now. If he shows well in Iowa, then he’ll do great in South Carolina. |