Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerjoe  You know something, back in the day, a thread like this would have been way live.
DG, no, two teams with average total scoring of 40, in a league with an average score of 50, will not have a total of 40 because they're both coming in with scoring 10 points below average, vs average competition. But now, playing each other, they aren't playing average comp, they're playing below average scoring teams. |
OK gotcha
"average expected score" means something a little different than "average score of past games" to me
Quote:
|
they're both coming in with scoring 10 points below average, vs average competition.
|
not necessarily, one may have scored that against bad opponents and the other team may have scored that against great opponents
Two teams averaging 40 points per game are not necessarily equivalent. Strength of opponents plays a HUGE role. Using league-wide scoring averages is generally not the best way to go about things IMO